Sunderland crestBrentford crest

Sunderland v Brentford bet builder

Wednesday 28 October 2026, 19:45 · EFL Cup

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

  • Brentford or Draw

    65% the model

    The outright win sits at only 39%, so we take the safer Double Chance (65%) covering the same side.

    1.54 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 1.50 and 4.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.07 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 61% chance all land
1.64

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Sunderland v Brentford, 61% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 74% 1.25 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 67% 1.35 +
  • Sunderland or Draw Double Chance 65% 1.49 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • K. Schade Brentford
    Shots on target 1+

    K. Schade: 1.17 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Thiago Brentford
    Shots on target 1+

    Thiago: 0.67 shots on target a game over 6 games [WC form: 1.45/90 over 1 games (62 min), 13% weight

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 10.5 Match Corners 45%
    Corners: Sunderland avg 5.2 for/4.7 against, Brentford avg 4.9 for/5.8 against so expected 10.3 match corners
  • Over 7.5 Match Corners 80%+
    Corners: Sunderland avg 5.2 for/4.7 against, Brentford avg 4.9 for/5.8 against so expected 10.3 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 56%
    Cards: Sunderland avg 2.2/game, Brentford avg 1.8/game so expected 4.0 match cards
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 76%
    Cards: Sunderland avg 2.2/game, Brentford avg 1.8/game so expected 4.0 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 43%
    Fouls: Sunderland avg 12.0/game, Brentford avg 11.8/game so expected 23.8 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 74%
    Fouls: Sunderland avg 12.0/game, Brentford avg 11.8/game so expected 23.8 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 71%
    Shots: Sunderland avg 14.1/game, Brentford avg 15.5/game so expected 29.6 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Sunderland avg 14.1/game, Brentford avg 15.5/game so expected 29.6 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Over 0.5 second half goals 84% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 83% market Bet365
    1.20 +
  • Sunderland under 2 goals 83% market 1xBet
    1.21 +
  • Brentford under 2 goals 83% market 1xBet
    1.21 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 81% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Sunderland over 0.5 goals 79% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Brentford over 0.5 goals 79% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Sunderland or Brentford (double chance) 76% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Under 3.5 goals 75% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 75% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Under 1.5 first half goals 69% market Bet365
    1.44 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.