Stoke City v Middlesbrough bet builder

Tuesday 13 October 2026, 20:00 · Championship

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • Stoke City or draw

    the model's number, for members

    Record this market has landed 82% across 227 graded picks

    1.11 +
  • The call and the price are free on every leg. The model's number and the desk's reason on each are in FBB Pro, seven days for £1, with the combined price and the chance the whole build lands.
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Record this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks

Combined fair oddsThe model's combined price on this build, and the chance every leg lands. Seven days for £1.
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More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • W. Lankshear Middlesbrough
    Shots on target 1+

    W. Lankshear: 1.38 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • S. Gallagher Stoke City
    Shots on target 1+

    S. Gallagher: 0.67 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • E. Galbraith Stoke City
    Shots on target 1+

    E. Galbraith: 0.63 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • B. Johnson Stoke City
    Shots on target 1+

    B. Johnson: 0.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • K. Joseph Middlesbrough
    Shots on target 1+

    K. Joseph: 0.50 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • W. Lankshear Middlesbrough
    Shots on target 2+

    W. Lankshear: 1.38 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 52%
    Corners: Stoke City avg 3.2 for/3.7 against, Middlesbrough avg 7.3 for/3.4 against so expected 8.8 match corners
  • Over 6.5 Match Corners 77%
    Corners: Stoke City avg 3.2 for/3.7 against, Middlesbrough avg 7.3 for/3.4 against so expected 8.8 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 55%
    Cards: Stoke City avg 1.9/game, Middlesbrough avg 1.0/game so expected 2.9 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 78%
    Cards: Stoke City avg 1.9/game, Middlesbrough avg 1.0/game so expected 2.9 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 54%
    Fouls: Stoke City avg 12.4/game, Middlesbrough avg 8.7/game so expected 21.1 match fouls
  • Over 16.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Stoke City avg 12.4/game, Middlesbrough avg 8.7/game so expected 21.1 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 65%
    Shots: Stoke City avg 10.3/game, Middlesbrough avg 18.3/game so expected 28.7 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Stoke City avg 10.3/game, Middlesbrough avg 18.3/game so expected 28.7 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

Seven days for £1 then £9.99 a month, or £79.99 a year. Cancel any time.
The pick of the day is free, in full, on days with two or more singles. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.