Stoke City v Bristol City bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
On the record-
1.35 +
Stoke City or draw
74% the modelRecord this market has landed 83% across 274 graded picks
Our board prices this at 74%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)
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1.07 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelRecord this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks
Goals: the sides' goal rates read 3.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
The model puts this 2-leg build at 69% combined for Stoke City v Bristol City. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.
Alternative picks
- Over 1.5 Goals 73% 1.28 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 70% 1.31 +
- Bristol City or Draw Double Chance 63% 1.58 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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E. Galbraith Stoke CityShots on target 1+
E. Galbraith: 0.64 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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J. Devenny Stoke CityShots on target 1+
J. Devenny: 0.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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S. Twine Bristol CityShots on target 1+
S. Twine: 0.67 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Y. Hirakawa Bristol CityShots on target 1+
Y. Hirakawa: 0.64 shots on target a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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D. Ballard Bristol CityShots on target 1+
D. Ballard: 0.64 shots on target a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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L. Tolaj Bristol CityShots on target 1+
L. Tolaj: 0.63 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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B. Johnson Stoke CityShots on target 1+
B. Johnson: 0.50 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Rio Cardines Bristol CityAnytime assist
Rio Cardines on 0.55 assists/match (11 apps, 33 key passes), match xG 2.56
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E. Galbraith Stoke CityTo be carded
E. Galbraith (Midfielder) on 0.36 yellows/match (11 apps), pos-mult 1.20
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 9.5 Match Corners 48%Corners: Stoke City avg 3.3 for/3.6 against, Bristol City avg 6.8 for/5.3 against so expected 9.5 match corners
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Over 7.5 Match Corners 73%Corners: Stoke City avg 3.3 for/3.6 against, Bristol City avg 6.8 for/5.3 against so expected 9.5 match corners; the safer line
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Over 3.5 Match Cards 44%Cards: Stoke City avg 1.8/game, Bristol City avg 1.6/game so expected 3.4 match cards
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Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+Cards: Stoke City avg 1.8/game, Bristol City avg 1.6/game so expected 3.4 match cards; the safer line
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Over 22.5 Match Fouls 45%Fouls: Stoke City avg 12.1/game, Bristol City avg 10.0/game so expected 22.1 match fouls
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Over 18.5 Match Fouls 77%Fouls: Stoke City avg 12.1/game, Bristol City avg 10.0/game so expected 22.1 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 26.5 Match Shots 46%Shots: Stoke City avg 10.1/game, Bristol City avg 16.0/game so expected 26.1 match shots
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 75%Shots: Stoke City avg 10.1/game, Bristol City avg 16.0/game so expected 26.1 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Over 7.5 corners 85% market 1xBet1.18 +
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Stoke City over 4 corners 85% market 1xBet1.18 +
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Over 0.5 second half goals 84% market William Hill1.25 +
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Stoke City over 0.5 goals 84% market Bet3651.25 +
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Bristol City over 3 corners 83% market 1xBet1.20 +
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Under 12 corners 83% market 1xBet1.21 +
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Stoke City under 7 corners 81% market 1xBet1.23 +
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Over 1.5 goals 80% market BetVictor1.30 +
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Stoke City under 2 goals 80% market Marathon Bet1.25 +
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Under 2 second half goals 79% market Marathon Bet1.26 +
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Stoke City or Bristol City (double chance) 79% market William Hill1.35 +
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Under 3.5 goals 78% market Bet3651.33 +
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The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.