Stevenage v Mansfield Town bet builder

Saturday 14 November 2026, 15:00 · League One

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record

Mansfield Town or draw

63% the model

Record this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks

Our board prices this at 63%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

1.58 +
Over 2.5 Goals

80%+ the model

Record this market has landed 64% across 119 graded picks

Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

1.14 +

Combined fair odds2 legs, 55% chance all land

1.81

The model puts this 2-leg build at 55% combined for Stevenage v Mansfield Town. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

Over 1.5 Goals 74% 1.23 +
Stevenage or Draw Double Chance 74% 1.38 +
Under 3.5 Goals 68% 1.32 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

M. Smith Mansfield Town

Shots on target 1+

M. Smith: 1.18 shots on target a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
J. Russell Mansfield Town

Shots on target 1+

J. Russell: 1.13 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
O. Sanderson Stevenage

Shots on target 1+

O. Sanderson: 0.75 shots on target a game over 12 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
D. Kemp Stevenage

Shots on target 1+

D. Kemp: 0.64 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
R. Oates Mansfield Town

Shots on target 1+

R. Oates: 0.75 shots on target a game over 12 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
M. Smith Mansfield Town

Anytime scorer

M. Smith: 0.55 goals a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 1.50 a game
J. Magennis Stevenage

Shots on target 1+

J. Magennis: 0.42 shots on target a game over 12 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

Over 10.5 Match Corners 53%
Corners: Stevenage avg 4.8 for/6.3 against, Mansfield Town avg 5.9 for/5.0 against so expected 11.0 match corners
Over 8.5 Match Corners 76%
Corners: Stevenage avg 4.8 for/6.3 against, Mansfield Town avg 5.9 for/5.0 against so expected 11.0 match corners; the safer line
Over 3.5 Match Cards 53%
Cards: Stevenage avg 1.8/game, Mansfield Town avg 2.1/game so expected 3.8 match cards
Over 2.5 Match Cards 74%
Cards: Stevenage avg 1.8/game, Mansfield Town avg 2.1/game so expected 3.8 match cards; the safer line
Over 22.5 Match Fouls 50%
Fouls: Stevenage avg 10.3/game, Mansfield Town avg 12.4/game so expected 22.6 match fouls
Over 18.5 Match Fouls 80%+
Fouls: Stevenage avg 10.3/game, Mansfield Town avg 12.4/game so expected 22.6 match fouls; the safer line
Over 26.5 Match Shots 62%
Shots: Stevenage avg 13.0/game, Mansfield Town avg 15.3/game so expected 28.3 match shots
Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
Shots: Stevenage avg 13.0/game, Mansfield Town avg 15.3/game so expected 28.3 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

Over 0.5 second half goals 85% market William Hill
1.22 +
Stevenage over 0.5 goals 83% market Bet365
1.25 +
Over 1.5 goals 82% market Bet365
1.25 +
Stevenage under 2 goals 79% market Marathon Bet
1.27 +
Mansfield Town over 0.5 goals 78% market Bet365
1.33 +
Under 2 second half goals 78% market Marathon Bet
1.28 +
Stevenage or Mansfield Town (double chance) 78% market William Hill
1.30 +
Under 3.5 goals 76% market Bet365
1.33 +
Over 0.5 first half goals 75% market Bet365
1.36 +
Stevenage or Draw (double chance) 74% market William Hill
1.40 +
Under 1.5 first half goals 71% market William Hill
1.40 +
Mansfield Town under 1.5 goals 69% market Bet365
1.44 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.