St Mirren v Kilmarnock bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
No record in this league yet, the market's prices only-
1.85 +
Kilmarnock or draw
54% the modelOur board prices this at 54%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)
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1.14 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelGoals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
Built from the bookmakers' prices for St Mirren v Kilmarnock, 47% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.
Alternative picks
- St Mirren or Draw Double Chance 78% 1.27 +
- Under 4.5 Goals 77% 1.22 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 61% 1.52 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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J. Hugill KilmarnockShots on target 1+
J. Hugill: 1.00 shots on target a game over 13 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Eseosa Sule St MirrenShots on target 1+
Eseosa Sule: 0.69 shots on target a game over 13 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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K. Phillips St MirrenShots on target 1+
K. Phillips: 0.67 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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G. Kiltie KilmarnockShots on target 1+
G. Kiltie: 0.69 shots on target a game over 13 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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R. Carr St MirrenTo be carded
R. Carr (Midfielder) on 0.50 yellows/match (12 apps), pos-mult 1.20
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A. Tshibola KilmarnockShots on target 1+
A. Tshibola: 0.55 shots on target a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 11.5 Match Corners 44%Corners: St Mirren avg 4.7 for/5.9 against, Kilmarnock avg 5.1 for/6.6 against so expected 11.2 match corners
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Over 8.5 Match Corners 78%Corners: St Mirren avg 4.7 for/5.9 against, Kilmarnock avg 5.1 for/6.6 against so expected 11.2 match corners; the safer line
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Over 4.5 Match Cards 60%Cards: St Mirren avg 2.9/game, Kilmarnock avg 2.3/game so expected 5.2 match cards
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Over 3.5 Match Cards 76%Cards: St Mirren avg 2.9/game, Kilmarnock avg 2.3/game so expected 5.2 match cards; the safer line
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Over 24.5 Match Fouls 59%Fouls: St Mirren avg 13.9/game, Kilmarnock avg 11.9/game so expected 25.8 match fouls
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Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+Fouls: St Mirren avg 13.9/game, Kilmarnock avg 11.9/game so expected 25.8 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 56%Shots: St Mirren avg 12.1/game, Kilmarnock avg 11.3/game so expected 23.4 match shots
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Over 18.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: St Mirren avg 12.1/game, Kilmarnock avg 11.3/game so expected 23.4 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Under 2 first half goals 83% market Marathon Bet1.20 +
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St Mirren over 1 goals 83% market Marathon Bet1.20 +
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Over 2 goals 82% market Marathon Bet1.22 +
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Under 4 goals 81% market Marathon Bet1.23 +
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St Mirren or Kilmarnock (double chance) 81% market Bet3651.25 +
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Over 0.5 first half goals 80% market Bet3651.28 +
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Under 2.5 second half goals 80% market Bet3651.28 +
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Over 1 second half goals 79% market Marathon Bet1.26 +
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St Mirren or Draw (double chance) 79% market Bet3651.28 +
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Kilmarnock over 0.5 goals 78% market Bet3651.30 +
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St Mirren under 2.5 goals 76% market Bet3651.33 +
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The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.