SpVgg Greuther Fürth v Holstein Kiel bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
No record in this league yet, the market's prices only-
1.40 +
SpVgg Greuther Fürth or draw
71% the modelOur board prices this at 71%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)
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1.31 +
Over 2.5 Goals
76% the modelGoals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.
Built from the bookmakers' prices for SpVgg Greuther Fürth v Holstein Kiel, 54% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.
Alternative picks
- Under 4.5 Goals 74% 1.28 +
- Holstein Kiel or Draw Double Chance 62% 1.59 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 55% 1.65 +
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Over 1 second half goals 84% market Marathon Bet1.19 +
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Over 0.5 first half goals 83% market William Hill1.22 +
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Under 4.5 goals 82% market BetVictor1.22 +
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Under 2 first half goals 82% market Marathon Bet1.22 +
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth or Holstein Kiel (double chance) 81% market William Hill1.25 +
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth under 2.5 goals 81% market BetVictor1.25 +
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth over 1 goals 81% market Marathon Bet1.24 +
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Under 2.5 second half goals 77% market William Hill1.33 +
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Under 4 goals 76% market BetVictor1.36 +
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Holstein Kiel under 2 goals 76% market Marathon Bet1.31 +
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Holstein Kiel over 1 goals 75% market Marathon Bet1.33 +
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Both teams to score: Yes 71% market William Hill1.40 +
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The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.