Sparta Rotterdam v AZ Alkmaar bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
No record in this league yet, the market's prices only-
1.26 +
AZ Alkmaar or Draw
80%+ the modelWin if away team wins or draws. Away team favoured. Away avoid defeat 73% of games.
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1.72 +
Over 2.5 Goals
58% the modelAvg 3.6 goals/game expected.
Built from the bookmakers' prices for Sparta Rotterdam v AZ Alkmaar, 46% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.
Alternative picks
- Under 4.5 Goals 72% 1.32 +
- AZ Alkmaar Away Win 58% 1.66 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 57% 1.74 +
- Over 3.5 Goals 50% 2.08 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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M. Zonneveld Sparta RotterdamShots on target 1+
M. Zonneveld: 1.18 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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M. Zonneveld Sparta RotterdamAnytime scorer
M. Zonneveld: 0.64 goals a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 1.20 a game
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L. Martes Sparta RotterdamShots on target 1+
L. Martes: 0.55 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Robin van Cruijsen Sparta RotterdamShots on target 1+
Robin van Cruijsen: 0.50 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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I. Babadi Sparta RotterdamShots on target 1+
I. Babadi: 0.43 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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M. Zonneveld Sparta RotterdamShots on target 2+
M. Zonneveld: 1.18 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 11.5 Match Corners 46%Corners: Sparta Rotterdam avg 5.6 for/5.8 against, AZ Alkmaar avg 7.0 for/4.3 against so expected 11.3 match corners
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Over 8.5 Match Corners 80%+Corners: Sparta Rotterdam avg 5.6 for/5.8 against, AZ Alkmaar avg 7.0 for/4.3 against so expected 11.3 match corners; the safer line
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Over 3.5 Match Cards 43%Cards: Sparta Rotterdam avg 2.0/game, AZ Alkmaar avg 1.4/game so expected 3.4 match cards
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Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+Cards: Sparta Rotterdam avg 2.0/game, AZ Alkmaar avg 1.4/game so expected 3.4 match cards; the safer line
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Over 24.5 Match Fouls 41%Fouls: Sparta Rotterdam avg 11.6/game, AZ Alkmaar avg 11.9/game so expected 23.6 match fouls
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Over 20.5 Match Fouls 73%Fouls: Sparta Rotterdam avg 11.6/game, AZ Alkmaar avg 11.9/game so expected 23.6 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 26.5 Match Shots 72%Shots: Sparta Rotterdam avg 12.4/game, AZ Alkmaar avg 17.4/game so expected 29.7 match shots
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: Sparta Rotterdam avg 12.4/game, AZ Alkmaar avg 17.4/game so expected 29.7 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Under 2.5 first half goals 85% market Bet3651.20 +
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AZ Alkmaar or Draw (double chance) 85% market Bet3651.20 +
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Over 1 second half goals 85% market Marathon Bet1.18 +
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Sparta Rotterdam or AZ Alkmaar (double chance) 84% market Bet3651.22 +
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AZ Alkmaar under 3 goals 82% market Marathon Bet1.22 +
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Under 4.5 goals 79% market Bet3651.28 +
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Sparta Rotterdam over 0.5 goals 78% market Bet3651.33 +
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Under 2 first half goals 76% market Marathon Bet1.31 +
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Under 2.5 second half goals 75% market Bet3651.36 +
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Under 4 goals 73% market Betano1.44 +
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Over 2.5 goals 72% market Bet3651.44 +
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AZ Alkmaar over 1.5 goals 70% market Bet3651.50 +
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The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.