Southampton v Portsmouth bet builder

Sunday 11 October 2026, 12:00 · Championship

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • Southampton or draw

    the model's number, for members

    Record this market has landed 82% across 227 graded picks

    1.11 +
  • The call and the price are free on every leg. The model's number and the desk's reason on each are in FBB Pro, seven days for £1, with the combined price and the chance the whole build lands.
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Record this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks

Combined fair oddsThe model's combined price on this build, and the chance every leg lands. Seven days for £1.
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Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 1.17 +
  • Under 4.5 Goals 1.20 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 1.46 +
  • Southampton Home Win 1.54 +
  • Southampton (first half) First Half 2.02 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • C. Larin Southampton
    Shots on target 1+

    C. Larin: 1.50 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • R. Kavuma McQueen Portsmouth
    Shots on target 1+

    R. Kavuma McQueen: 1.00 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • F. Azaz Southampton
    Shots on target 1+

    F. Azaz: 0.63 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Léo Scienza Southampton
    Shots on target 1+

    Léo Scienza: 0.63 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • C. Larin Southampton
    Shots on target 2+

    C. Larin: 1.50 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • K. Matsuki Southampton
    Shots on target 1+

    K. Matsuki: 0.50 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Segecic Portsmouth
    Shots on target 1+

    A. Segecic: 0.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Kamara Portsmouth
    Shots on target 1+

    A. Kamara: 0.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • C. Bishop Portsmouth
    Shots on target 1+

    C. Bishop: 0.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 10.5 Match Corners 52%
    Corners: Southampton avg 4.7 for/4.6 against, Portsmouth avg 5.2 for/7.2 against so expected 10.9 match corners
  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 75%
    Corners: Southampton avg 4.7 for/4.6 against, Portsmouth avg 5.2 for/7.2 against so expected 10.9 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 4.5 Match Cards 38%
    Cards: Southampton avg 1.9/game, Portsmouth avg 2.2/game so expected 4.1 match cards
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 77%
    Cards: Southampton avg 1.9/game, Portsmouth avg 2.2/game so expected 4.1 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 31%
    Fouls: Southampton avg 9.2/game, Portsmouth avg 9.4/game so expected 18.6 match fouls
  • Over 14.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Southampton avg 9.2/game, Portsmouth avg 9.4/game so expected 18.6 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Shots 41%
    Shots: Southampton avg 14.0/game, Portsmouth avg 9.6/game so expected 23.6 match shots
  • Over 20.5 Match Shots 73%
    Shots: Southampton avg 14.0/game, Portsmouth avg 9.6/game so expected 23.6 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 4 goals 83% market Marathon Bet
    1.20 +
  • Southampton or Portsmouth (double chance) 83% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 82% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Portsmouth under 1.5 goals 80% market Marathon Bet
    1.29 +
  • Over 2 goals 80% market Marathon Bet
    1.25 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 79% market William Hill
    1.29 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 79% market Marathon Bet
    1.27 +
  • Southampton under 2.5 goals 71% market Bet365
    1.44 +
  • Portsmouth over 0.5 goals 68% market Bet365
    1.57 +
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The daily sheet: every leg, with its chance of landing

Every leg on the card ranked by how likely it is to land, the accas built from that list, the facts behind each leg, and the calls the desk refused, with the reason. Locked before kick-off, graded in public, wins and losses alike.

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Cancel any time. 18+. This is analysis and opinion, not betting advice.