Sheffield Utd crestDerby crest

Sheffield Utd v Derby bet builder

Saturday 24 October 2026, 12:30 · Championship

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record

  • Sheffield Utd or draw

    78% the model

    Record this market has landed 83% across 274 graded picks

    Our board prices this at 78%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 100%.)

    1.29 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    76% the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.

    1.31 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 59% chance all land
1.69

The model puts this 2-leg build at 59% combined for Sheffield Utd v Derby. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 76% 1.25 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 67% 1.36 +
  • Derby or Draw Double Chance 53% 1.90 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • T. Cannon Sheffield Utd
    Shots on target 1+

    T. Cannon: 0.80 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • S. Szmodics Derby
    Shots on target 1+

    S. Szmodics: 0.90 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • P. Bamford Sheffield Utd
    Shots on target 1+

    P. Bamford: 0.60 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • B. Clark Derby
    Shots on target 1+

    B. Clark: 0.64 shots on target a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • P. Bamford Sheffield Utd
    Anytime scorer

    P. Bamford: 0.40 goals a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 1.82 a game

  • S. Langås Derby
    To be carded

    S. Langås (Defender) on 0.40 yellows/match (10 apps), pos-mult 1.10

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Sheffield Utd under 7.5 corners 84% market 1xBet
    1.19 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 83% market BetVictor
    1.26 +
  • Sheffield Utd or Draw (double chance) 82% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Sheffield Utd or Derby (double chance) 82% market William Hill
    1.29 +
  • Sheffield Utd under 2.5 goals 80% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Sheffield Utd over 1 goals 80% market Marathon Bet
    1.25 +
  • Sheffield Utd under 7 corners 80% market 1xBet
    1.25 +
  • Over 8.5 corners 79% market Betano
    1.31 +
  • Under 12.5 corners 78% market Betano
    1.31 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 77% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Derby under 1.5 goals 77% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Under 2 second half goals 77% market Marathon Bet
    1.30 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.