Shakhtar Donetsk v Sporting CP bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
On the record-
1.30 +
Sporting CP or draw
77% the modelRecord this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks
Our board prices this at 77%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)
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1.14 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelRecord this market has landed 64% across 119 graded picks
Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
The model puts this 2-leg build at 68% combined for Shakhtar Donetsk v Sporting CP. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.
Alternative picks
- Over 1.5 Goals 79% 1.20 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 63% 1.47 +
- Shakhtar Donetsk or Draw Double Chance 55% 1.86 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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L. Suárez Sporting CPShots on target 1+
L. Suárez: 1.10 shots on target a game over 10 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 2 games (110 min), 21% weight
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Geny Catamo Sporting CPShots on target 1+
Geny Catamo: 0.80 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Flávio Gonçalves Sporting CPShots on target 1+
Flávio Gonçalves: 0.78 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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M. Araújo Sporting CPShots on target 1+
M. Araújo: 0.44 shots on target a game over 9 games [WC form: 1.05/90 over 2 games (171 min), 29% weight
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R. Zalazar Sporting CPShots on target 1+
R. Zalazar: 0.50 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 8.5 Match Corners 32%Corners: Shakhtar Donetsk avg 3.8 for/3.3 against, Sporting CP avg 3.7 for/4.0 against so expected 7.4 match corners
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Over 5.5 Match Corners 74%Corners: Shakhtar Donetsk avg 3.8 for/3.3 against, Sporting CP avg 3.7 for/4.0 against so expected 7.4 match corners; the safer line
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Over 4.5 Match Cards 60%Cards: Shakhtar Donetsk avg 3.3/game, Sporting CP avg 2.0/game so expected 5.3 match cards
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Over 3.5 Match Cards 77%Cards: Shakhtar Donetsk avg 3.3/game, Sporting CP avg 2.0/game so expected 5.3 match cards; the safer line
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Over 24.5 Match Fouls 63%Fouls: Shakhtar Donetsk avg 14.5/game, Sporting CP avg 11.8/game so expected 26.3 match fouls
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Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+Fouls: Shakhtar Donetsk avg 14.5/game, Sporting CP avg 11.8/game so expected 26.3 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 24.5 Match Shots 57%Shots: Shakhtar Donetsk avg 11.5/game, Sporting CP avg 14.0/game so expected 25.5 match shots
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Over 20.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: Shakhtar Donetsk avg 11.5/game, Sporting CP avg 14.0/game so expected 25.5 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Same-game build one leg a market, live prices
3 legs on this fixture, one a market, priced across the books with the combined return. Built for members. Seven days for £1 opens it.
Market singles
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Over 2.5 cards 84% market Betano1.19 +
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Under 2 first half goals 83% market BetVictor1.20 +
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Shakhtar Donetsk or Sporting CP (double chance) 83% market Bet3651.28 +
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Under 2.5 second half goals 82% market Bet3651.25 +
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Sporting CP or Draw (double chance) 82% market William Hill1.29 +
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Under 4 goals 82% market 1xBet1.24 +
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Sporting CP over 1 goals 82% market 1xBet1.26 +
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Over 2 goals 81% market BetVictor1.32 +
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Sporting CP under 2.5 goals 80% market Bet3651.25 +
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Under 6.5 cards 80% market Betano1.25 +
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Over 0.5 first half goals 79% market BetVictor1.32 +
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Shakhtar Donetsk over 0.5 goals 77% market Bet3651.36 +
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The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.