SC Freiburg crestRB Leipzig crest

SC Freiburg v RB Leipzig bet builder

Sunday 29 November 2026, 14:30 · Bundesliga

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record

  • RB Leipzig or draw

    68% the model

    Record this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks

    Our board prices this at 68%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.47 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 120 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 3.50 and 3.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.03 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 66% chance all land
1.51

The model puts this 2-leg build at 66% combined for SC Freiburg v RB Leipzig. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 70% 1.36 +
  • SC Freiburg or Draw Double Chance 58% 1.67 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 55% 1.83 +
  • Over 3.5 Goals 50% 2.03 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • I. Matanović SC Freiburg
    Shots on target 1+

    I. Matanović: 1.67 shots on target a game over 9 games [WC form: 1.88/90 over 2 games (48 min), 10% weight

  • M. Ginter SC Freiburg
    Shots on target 1+

    M. Ginter: 1.00 shots on target a game over 5 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • V. Grifo SC Freiburg
    Shots on target 1+

    V. Grifo: 1.00 shots on target a game over 5 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Rômulo RB Leipzig
    Shots on target 1+

    Rômulo: 1.14 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Y. Suzuki SC Freiburg
    Shots on target 1+

    Y. Suzuki: 0.88 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • D. Scherhant SC Freiburg
    Shots on target 1+

    D. Scherhant: 0.78 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • I. Matanović SC Freiburg
    Shots on target 2+

    I. Matanović: 1.67 shots on target a game over 9 games [WC form: 1.88/90 over 2 games (48 min), 10% weight

  • T. Gomis RB Leipzig
    Shots on target 1+

    T. Gomis: 0.89 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • E. Banzuzi RB Leipzig
    Shots on target 1+

    E. Banzuzi: 0.78 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • M. Eggestein SC Freiburg
    Shots on target 1+

    M. Eggestein: 0.60 shots on target a game over 5 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Nusa RB Leipzig
    Shots on target 1+

    A. Nusa: 1.00 shots on target a game over 9 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 3 games (157 min), 27% weight

  • B. Gruda RB Leipzig
    Shots on target 1+

    B. Gruda: 0.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 43%
    Corners: SC Freiburg avg 4.6 for/3.6 against, RB Leipzig avg 4.8 for/5.2 against so expected 9.1 match corners
  • Over 6.5 Match Corners 80%+
    Corners: SC Freiburg avg 4.6 for/3.6 against, RB Leipzig avg 4.8 for/5.2 against so expected 9.1 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 40%
    Cards: SC Freiburg avg 1.6/game, RB Leipzig avg 1.6/game so expected 3.2 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: SC Freiburg avg 1.6/game, RB Leipzig avg 1.6/game so expected 3.2 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Fouls 52%
    Fouls: SC Freiburg avg 11.9/game, RB Leipzig avg 11.0/game so expected 22.9 match fouls
  • Over 18.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: SC Freiburg avg 11.9/game, RB Leipzig avg 11.0/game so expected 22.9 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: SC Freiburg avg 14.8/game, RB Leipzig avg 17.0/game so expected 31.8 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: SC Freiburg avg 14.8/game, RB Leipzig avg 17.0/game so expected 31.8 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • RB Leipzig over 1 goals 85% market Marathon Bet
    1.18 +
  • Under 2.5 first half goals 83% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • SC Freiburg or RB Leipzig (double chance) 80% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • SC Freiburg under 2.5 goals 80% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • SC Freiburg over 1 goals 78% market Marathon Bet
    1.28 +
  • Under 4.5 goals 77% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • RB Leipzig under 2.5 goals 75% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Under 2 first half goals 75% market Marathon Bet
    1.34 +
  • Both teams to score: Yes 74% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Over 2.5 goals 74% market Bet365
    1.40 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 71% market Bet365
    1.40 +
  • RB Leipzig or Draw (double chance) 71% market Bet365
    1.40 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.