Sassuolo v Napoli bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
On the record-
1.61 +Napoli62% the model
Record this market has landed 53% across 49 graded picks
10th visits 17th.
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1.48 +
Over 2.5 Goals
67% the modelRecord this market has landed 64% across 120 graded picks
Avg 3.5 goals/game expected.
The model puts this 2-leg build at 42% combined for Sassuolo v Napoli. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.
Alternative picks
- Under 4.5 Goals 76% 1.25 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 57% 1.60 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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D. Berardi SassuoloShots on target 1+
D. Berardi: 1.00 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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A. Laurienté SassuoloShots on target 1+
A. Laurienté: 0.73 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Vasilije Adžić SassuoloShots on target 1+
Vasilije Adžić: 0.56 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 9.5 Match Corners 44%Corners: Sassuolo avg 3.4 for/5.6 against, Napoli avg 5.0 for/4.4 against so expected 9.2 match corners
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Over 6.5 Match Corners 80%+Corners: Sassuolo avg 3.4 for/5.6 against, Napoli avg 5.0 for/4.4 against so expected 9.2 match corners; the safer line
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Over 3.5 Match Cards 40%Cards: Sassuolo avg 1.7/game, Napoli avg 1.5/game so expected 3.2 match cards
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Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+Cards: Sassuolo avg 1.7/game, Napoli avg 1.5/game so expected 3.2 match cards; the safer line
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Over 20.5 Match Fouls 37%Fouls: Sassuolo avg 10.3/game, Napoli avg 8.9/game so expected 19.2 match fouls
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Over 16.5 Match Fouls 72%Fouls: Sassuolo avg 10.3/game, Napoli avg 8.9/game so expected 19.2 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 26.5 Match Shots 50%Shots: Sassuolo avg 12.8/game, Napoli avg 13.9/game so expected 26.7 match shots
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 79%Shots: Sassuolo avg 12.8/game, Napoli avg 13.9/game so expected 26.7 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Napoli or Draw (double chance) 85% market Bet3651.18 +
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Over 2 goals 85% market Pinnacle1.23 +
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Napoli under 3 goals 85% market Marathon Bet1.18 +
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Under 4.5 goals 83% market Bet3651.22 +
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Over 0.5 first half goals 81% market Bet3651.25 +
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Sassuolo or Napoli (double chance) 81% market Bet3651.25 +
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Under 2 first half goals 80% market Marathon Bet1.25 +
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Over 1 second half goals 80% market Marathon Bet1.25 +
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Under 2.5 second half goals 78% market Bet3651.30 +
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Sassuolo over 0.5 goals 75% market Bet3651.36 +
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Napoli under 2.5 goals 73% market Bet3651.40 +
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Sassuolo under 1.5 goals 71% market Bet3651.40 +
More fixtures
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The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.