Sassuolo v Genoa bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
On the record-
1.56 +
Genoa or draw
64% the modelRecord this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks
Our board prices this at 64%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)
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1.14 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelRecord this market has landed 64% across 120 graded picks
Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
The model puts this 2-leg build at 56% combined for Sassuolo v Genoa. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.
Alternative picks
- Over 1.5 Goals 78% 1.29 +
- Sassuolo or Draw Double Chance 74% 1.41 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 69% 1.33 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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D. Berardi SassuoloShots on target 1+
D. Berardi: 1.00 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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A. Laurienté SassuoloShots on target 1+
A. Laurienté: 0.80 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Vasilije Adžić SassuoloShots on target 1+
Vasilije Adžić: 0.63 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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S. Esposito SassuoloShots on target 1+
S. Esposito: 0.43 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Junior Messias GenoaShots on target 1+
Junior Messias: 0.50 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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K. Bowie SassuoloShots on target 1+
K. Bowie: 0.40 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 8.5 Match Corners 53%Corners: Sassuolo avg 3.6 for/5.2 against, Genoa avg 4.2 for/4.8 against so expected 8.9 match corners
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Over 6.5 Match Corners 78%Corners: Sassuolo avg 3.6 for/5.2 against, Genoa avg 4.2 for/4.8 against so expected 8.9 match corners; the safer line
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Over 3.5 Match Cards 50%Cards: Sassuolo avg 1.8/game, Genoa avg 1.8/game so expected 3.7 match cards
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Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+Cards: Sassuolo avg 1.8/game, Genoa avg 1.8/game so expected 3.7 match cards; the safer line
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Over 20.5 Match Fouls 36%Fouls: Sassuolo avg 10.1/game, Genoa avg 9.1/game so expected 19.1 match fouls
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Over 14.5 Match Fouls 80%+Fouls: Sassuolo avg 10.1/game, Genoa avg 9.1/game so expected 19.1 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 24.5 Match Shots 49%Shots: Sassuolo avg 13.5/game, Genoa avg 11.1/game so expected 24.5 match shots
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Over 20.5 Match Shots 79%Shots: Sassuolo avg 13.5/game, Genoa avg 11.1/game so expected 24.5 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Over 0.5 second half goals 82% market Bet3651.22 +
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Sassuolo over 0.5 goals 82% market Bet3651.25 +
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Sassuolo under 2 goals 81% market Marathon Bet1.25 +
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Over 1.5 goals 79% market Bet3651.30 +
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Under 2 second half goals 79% market Marathon Bet1.27 +
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Sassuolo or Genoa (double chance) 78% market Bet3651.33 +
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Genoa over 0.5 goals 78% market Bet3651.33 +
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Under 3.5 goals 78% market Bet3651.33 +
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Over 0.5 first half goals 74% market Bet3651.40 +
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Sassuolo or Draw (double chance) 74% market Bet3651.36 +
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Under 1.5 first half goals 71% market Bet3651.40 +
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Genoa under 1.5 goals 69% market Bet3651.44 +
More fixtures
All previews ›
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.