Sassuolo v Fiorentina bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
On the record-
1.45 +
Fiorentina or draw
69% the modelRecord this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks
Our board prices this at 69%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)
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1.07 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelRecord this market has landed 64% across 119 graded picks
Goals: the sides' goal rates read 3.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
The model puts this 2-leg build at 65% combined for Sassuolo v Fiorentina. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.
Alternative picks
- Under 4.5 Goals 76% 1.25 +
- Sassuolo or Draw Double Chance 62% 1.59 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 59% 1.60 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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D. Berardi SassuoloShots on target 1+
D. Berardi: 1.13 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Franco Mastantuono FiorentinaShots on target 1+
Franco Mastantuono: 1.00 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Vasilije Adžić SassuoloShots on target 1+
Vasilije Adžić: 0.71 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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A. Laurienté SassuoloShots on target 1+
A. Laurienté: 0.67 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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S. Esposito SassuoloShots on target 1+
S. Esposito: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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K. Bowie SassuoloShots on target 1+
K. Bowie: 0.44 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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D. Berardi SassuoloShots on target 2+
D. Berardi: 1.13 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 8.5 Match Corners 49%Corners: Sassuolo avg 3.5 for/5.3 against, Fiorentina avg 4.5 for/3.8 against so expected 8.6 match corners
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Over 6.5 Match Corners 75%Corners: Sassuolo avg 3.5 for/5.3 against, Fiorentina avg 4.5 for/3.8 against so expected 8.6 match corners; the safer line
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Over 3.5 Match Cards 55%Cards: Sassuolo avg 1.8/game, Fiorentina avg 2.1/game so expected 3.9 match cards
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Over 2.5 Match Cards 75%Cards: Sassuolo avg 1.8/game, Fiorentina avg 2.1/game so expected 3.9 match cards; the safer line
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Over 20.5 Match Fouls 54%Fouls: Sassuolo avg 9.9/game, Fiorentina avg 11.2/game so expected 21.1 match fouls
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Over 16.5 Match Fouls 80%+Fouls: Sassuolo avg 9.9/game, Fiorentina avg 11.2/game so expected 21.1 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 26.5 Match Shots 76%Shots: Sassuolo avg 14.1/game, Fiorentina avg 16.4/game so expected 30.5 match shots
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: Sassuolo avg 14.1/game, Fiorentina avg 16.4/game so expected 30.5 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Same-game build one leg a market, live prices
3 legs on this fixture, one a market, priced across the books with the combined return. Built for members. Seven days for £1 opens it.
Market singles
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Under 4.5 goals 85% market Bet3651.22 +
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Over 7 corners 84% market 1xBet1.19 +
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Sassuolo over 0.5 goals 83% market Bet3651.22 +
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Under 11.5 corners 83% market 1xBet1.21 +
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Sassuolo over 2.5 corners 83% market Betano1.21 +
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Sassuolo over 3 corners 83% market 1xBet1.20 +
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Fiorentina over 3 corners 83% market 1xBet1.20 +
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Fiorentina under 6.5 corners 83% market 1xBet1.21 +
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Under 2 first half goals 83% market Marathon Bet1.21 +
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Fiorentina under 2.5 goals 82% market Bet3651.25 +
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Over 2 goals 82% market BetVictor1.24 +
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Sassuolo or Fiorentina (double chance) 81% market William Hill1.30 +
More fixtures
All previews ›
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.