Sassuolo v AC Milan bet builder

Sunday 11 October 2026, 17:00 · Serie A

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • AC Milan or draw

    the model's number, for members

    Record this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks

    1.26 +
  • The call and the price are free on every leg. The model's number and the desk's reason on each are in FBB Pro, seven days for £1, with the combined price and the chance the whole build lands.
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Record this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks

Combined fair oddsThe model's combined price on this build, and the chance every leg lands. Seven days for £1.
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Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 1.23 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 1.35 +
  • AC Milan Away Win 1.77 +
  • Sassuolo or Draw Double Chance 2.03 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • A. Laurienté Sassuolo
    Shots on target 1+

    A. Laurienté: 1.00 shots on target a game over 5 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Vasilije Adžić Sassuolo
    Shots on target 1+

    Vasilije Adžić: 1.00 shots on target a game over 5 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • K. Bowie Sassuolo
    Shots on target 1+

    K. Bowie: 0.60 shots on target a game over 5 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • S. Cinquegrano Sassuolo
    Shots on target 1+

    S. Cinquegrano: 0.40 shots on target a game over 5 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 45%
    Corners: Sassuolo avg 3.6 for/5.9 against, AC Milan avg 3.7 for/3.4 against so expected 8.3 match corners
  • Over 6.5 Match Corners 72%
    Corners: Sassuolo avg 3.6 for/5.9 against, AC Milan avg 3.7 for/3.4 against so expected 8.3 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 47%
    Cards: Sassuolo avg 2.0/game, AC Milan avg 1.6/game so expected 3.6 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Sassuolo avg 2.0/game, AC Milan avg 1.6/game so expected 3.6 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 49%
    Fouls: Sassuolo avg 9.8/game, AC Milan avg 10.8/game so expected 20.6 match fouls
  • Over 16.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Sassuolo avg 9.8/game, AC Milan avg 10.8/game so expected 20.6 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 72%
    Shots: Sassuolo avg 16.8/game, AC Milan avg 12.9/game so expected 29.7 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Sassuolo avg 16.8/game, AC Milan avg 12.9/game so expected 29.7 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 2.5 second half goals 85% market Bet365
    1.20 +
  • AC Milan or Draw (double chance) 85% market 1xBet
    1.24 +
  • Over 0.5 second half goals 84% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 82% market Pinnacle
    1.26 +
  • AC Milan over 1 goals 81% market Marathon Bet
    1.27 +
  • Sassuolo or AC Milan (double chance) 80% market 1xBet
    1.30 +
  • AC Milan under 2.5 goals 79% market 1xBet
    1.29 +
  • Sassuolo under 1.5 goals 77% market 1xBet
    1.33 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 75% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Under 3.5 goals 75% market Pinnacle
    1.38 +
  • Under 1.5 first half goals 69% market William Hill
    1.44 +
  • Sassuolo over 0.5 goals 68% market Bet365
    1.50 +
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The daily sheet: every leg, with its chance of landing

Every leg on the card ranked by how likely it is to land, the accas built from that list, the facts behind each leg, and the calls the desk refused, with the reason. Locked before kick-off, graded in public, wins and losses alike.

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Cancel any time. 18+. This is analysis and opinion, not betting advice.