Santos vs Mirassol Bet Builder Tip
⚙️ A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
Our Model's Picks
Live bookie odds · verified record coming soonMore to Build With
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer Form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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Alesson MirassolShots on Target 1+ 50%
Alesson averages 0.78 SoT/match (18 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.70, P(1+)=50% P(2+)=16%
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Á. Barreal SantosShots on Target 1+ 48%
Á. Barreal averages 0.59 SoT/match (17 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.65, P(1+)=48% P(2+)=14%
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Gabriel Barbosa SantosShots on Target 1+ 45%
Gabriel Barbosa averages 0.54 SoT/match (13 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.59, P(1+)=45% P(2+)=12%
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Negueba MirassolShots on Target 1+ 39%
Negueba averages 0.56 SoT/match (9 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.50, P(1+)=39% P(2+)=9%
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José Aldo MirassolTo Be Carded 39%
José Aldo (Midfielder) on 0.41 yellows/match (17 apps), pos-mult 1.20 → lambda 0.49, P(carded)=39%
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Gabriel Barbosa SantosAnytime Scorer 36%
Gabriel Barbosa on 0.54 goals/match (13 apps), home vs opp conceding 1.00 goals/game → lambda 0.44, P(anytime scorer)=36%
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match Stats
Informational only, not part of our tracked record. These corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
- Over 10.5 Match Corners, 46% Corners: Santos avg 7.6 for/2.4 against, Mirassol avg 5.0 for/5.7 against → expected 10.3 match corners
- Over 4.5 Match Cards, 53% Cards: Santos avg 3.2/game, Mirassol avg 1.7/game → expected 4.8 match cards
- Over 22.5 Match Fouls, 52% Fouls: Santos avg 11.6/game, Mirassol avg 11.3/game → expected 22.9 match fouls
- Over 22.5 Match Shots, 47% Shots: Santos avg 13.3/game, Mirassol avg 9.0/game → expected 22.3 match shots
How is this built?
This bet builder is auto-generated by our football model across hundreds of weekly picks. Every leg is a team market (match result, goals, BTTS). Each leg shows the model's probability alongside the fair odds, so you can see exactly where we think the edge is. We don't cherry-pick wins; we log every prediction we publish, win or lose. Player markets shown above are informational only and never count toward that record. This is a league we don't have a proven record on yet, so these legs are the model's read on the bookies' odds, not yet part of our verified record.
View our full verified track record → | Full match preview →