Santos v Bahia bet builder

Sunday 25 October 2026, 01:00 · Brasileirão Série A

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

Santos or draw

80%+ the model

The pre-match read for this game is double chance, Santos or draw (90%). Double chance is our strongest verified market.

1.11 +
Over 2.5 Goals

80%+ the model

Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

1.14 +

Combined fair odds2 legs, 79% chance all land

1.27

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Santos v Bahia, 79% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

Gabriel Barbosa Santos

Shots on target 1+

Gabriel Barbosa: 0.87 shots on target a game over 23 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
C. Olivera Bahia

Shots on target 1+

C. Olivera: 0.83 shots on target a game over 23 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Gabriel Barbosa Santos

Anytime scorer

Gabriel Barbosa: 0.65 goals a game over 23 games, home against a side conceding 1.30 a game
Á. Barreal Santos

Shots on target 1+

Á. Barreal: 0.56 shots on target a game over 25 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Luciano Juba Bahia

Shots on target 1+

Luciano Juba: 0.63 shots on target a game over 27 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Erick Pulga Bahia

Shots on target 1+

Erick Pulga: 0.50 shots on target a game over 30 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

Over 10.5 Match Corners 44%
Corners: Santos avg 6.3 for/4.5 against, Bahia avg 4.5 for/5.1 against so expected 10.2 match corners
Over 7.5 Match Corners 80%+
Corners: Santos avg 6.3 for/4.5 against, Bahia avg 4.5 for/5.1 against so expected 10.2 match corners; the safer line
Over 4.5 Match Cards 49%
Cards: Santos avg 2.4/game, Bahia avg 2.2/game so expected 4.6 match cards
Over 2.5 Match Cards 80%+
Cards: Santos avg 2.4/game, Bahia avg 2.2/game so expected 4.6 match cards; the safer line
Over 22.5 Match Fouls 53%
Fouls: Santos avg 11.9/game, Bahia avg 11.1/game so expected 23.0 match fouls
Over 18.5 Match Fouls 80%+
Fouls: Santos avg 11.9/game, Bahia avg 11.1/game so expected 23.0 match fouls; the safer line
Over 24.5 Match Shots 53%
Shots: Santos avg 12.6/game, Bahia avg 12.4/game so expected 25.0 match shots
Over 20.5 Match Shots 80%+
Shots: Santos avg 12.6/game, Bahia avg 12.4/game so expected 25.0 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

Seven days for £1 then £9.99 a month, or £79.99 a year. Cancel any time.

18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.