San Diego v Sporting Kansas City bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
No record in this league yet, the market's prices only-
1.11 +
San Diego or draw
80%+ the modelThe pre-match read for this game is double chance, San Diego or draw (90%). Double chance is our strongest verified market.
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1.07 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelGoals: the sides' goal rates read 3.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
Built from the bookmakers' prices for San Diego v Sporting Kansas City, 84% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.
Alternative picks
- San Diego Home Win 64% 1.48 +
- Under 4.5 Goals 62% 1.55 +
- San Diego (first half) First Half 57% 1.85 +
- Over 3.5 Goals 50% 1.67 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 50% 2.17 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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A. Dreyer San DiegoShots on target 1+
A. Dreyer: 1.34 shots on target a game over 32 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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D. Joveljić Sporting Kansas CityShots on target 1+
D. Joveljić: 1.10 shots on target a game over 20 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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M. Ingvartsen San DiegoShots on target 1+
M. Ingvartsen: 0.86 shots on target a game over 29 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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A. Dreyer San DiegoAnytime scorer
A. Dreyer: 0.44 goals a game over 32 games, home against a side conceding 2.50 a game
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M. Ingvartsen San DiegoAnytime scorer
M. Ingvartsen: 0.41 goals a game over 29 games, home against a side conceding 2.50 a game
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C. Harris Sporting Kansas CityShots on target 1+
C. Harris: 0.66 shots on target a game over 32 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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T. Calheira Sporting Kansas CityShots on target 1+
T. Calheira: 0.64 shots on target a game over 25 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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A. Dreyer San DiegoShots on target 2+
A. Dreyer: 1.34 shots on target a game over 32 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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D. Joveljić Sporting Kansas CityAnytime scorer
D. Joveljić: 0.40 goals a game over 20 games, away against a side conceding 2.50 a game
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O. Valakari San DiegoShots on target 1+
O. Valakari: 0.42 shots on target a game over 31 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 9.5 Match Corners 48%Corners: San Diego avg 4.0 for/4.7 against, Sporting Kansas City avg 4.1 for/6.2 against so expected 9.5 match corners
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Over 7.5 Match Corners 73%Corners: San Diego avg 4.0 for/4.7 against, Sporting Kansas City avg 4.1 for/6.2 against so expected 9.5 match corners; the safer line
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Over 3.5 Match Cards 38%Cards: San Diego avg 1.0/game, Sporting Kansas City avg 2.1/game so expected 3.1 match cards
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Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+Cards: San Diego avg 1.0/game, Sporting Kansas City avg 2.1/game so expected 3.1 match cards; the safer line
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Over 24.5 Match Fouls 44%Fouls: San Diego avg 11.0/game, Sporting Kansas City avg 12.9/game so expected 23.9 match fouls
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Over 20.5 Match Fouls 75%Fouls: San Diego avg 11.0/game, Sporting Kansas City avg 12.9/game so expected 23.9 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 26.5 Match Shots 54%Shots: San Diego avg 15.3/game, Sporting Kansas City avg 11.8/game so expected 27.1 match shots
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: San Diego avg 15.3/game, Sporting Kansas City avg 11.8/game so expected 27.1 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Under 5.5 goals 85% market BetVictor1.20 +
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Sporting Kansas City under 2 goals 85% market Marathon Bet1.18 +
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Over 2.5 goals 83% market Bet3651.30 +
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Over 1 first half goals 83% market Pinnacle1.25 +
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Under 3 second half goals 82% market Marathon Bet1.22 +
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San Diego over 1.5 goals 82% market BetVictor1.25 +
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Under 5 goals 79% market Marathon Bet1.26 +
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Sporting Kansas City over 0.5 goals 79% market BetVictor1.29 +
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Under 2.5 first half goals 78% market William Hill1.30 +
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San Diego under 3.5 goals 77% market BetVictor1.30 +
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Both teams to score: Yes 75% market William Hill1.40 +
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San Diego to win 71% market Bet3651.57 +
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The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.