Rotherham crestCrawley Town crest

Rotherham v Crawley Town bet builder

Saturday 14 November 2026, 15:00 · League Two

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • Rotherham or Draw

    78% the model

    Record this market has landed 82% across 322 graded picks

    Win if home team wins or draws. Home team favoured.

    1.28 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    64% the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 119 graded picks

    Avg 3.0 goals/game expected.

    1.56 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 50% chance all land
2.01

The model puts this 2-leg build at 50% combined for Rotherham v Crawley Town. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 78% 1.20 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 62% 1.47 +
  • Crawley Town or Draw Double Chance 56% 1.77 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • P. Mullin Rotherham
    Shots on target 1+

    P. Mullin: 1.21 shots on target a game over 14 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • P. Mullin Rotherham
    Anytime scorer

    P. Mullin: 0.57 goals a game over 14 games, home against a side conceding 1.80 a game

  • D. Orsi Crawley Town
    Shots on target 1+

    D. Orsi: 0.56 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • P. Mullin Rotherham
    Shots on target 2+

    P. Mullin: 1.21 shots on target a game over 14 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 50%
    Corners: Rotherham avg 3.3 for/4.8 against, Crawley Town avg 3.3 for/6.0 against so expected 8.7 match corners
  • Over 6.5 Match Corners 76%
    Corners: Rotherham avg 3.3 for/4.8 against, Crawley Town avg 3.3 for/6.0 against so expected 8.7 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 4.5 Match Cards 51%
    Cards: Rotherham avg 2.6/game, Crawley Town avg 2.1/game so expected 4.7 match cards
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Rotherham avg 2.6/game, Crawley Town avg 2.1/game so expected 4.7 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 54%
    Fouls: Rotherham avg 14.5/game, Crawley Town avg 10.7/game so expected 25.2 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Rotherham avg 14.5/game, Crawley Town avg 10.7/game so expected 25.2 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 45%
    Shots: Rotherham avg 10.5/game, Crawley Town avg 11.6/game so expected 22.1 match shots
  • Over 18.5 Match Shots 77%
    Shots: Rotherham avg 10.5/game, Crawley Town avg 11.6/game so expected 22.1 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 2 first half goals 84% market Marathon Bet
    1.19 +
  • Under 4 goals 83% market Marathon Bet
    1.21 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 81% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Rotherham over 1 goals 81% market Marathon Bet
    1.23 +
  • Over 2 goals 81% market Marathon Bet
    1.24 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 80% market Bet365
    1.30 +
  • Rotherham or Crawley Town (double chance) 80% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Rotherham or Draw (double chance) 79% market Bet365
    1.30 +
  • Rotherham under 2.5 goals 78% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Crawley Town over 0.5 goals 78% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 78% market Marathon Bet
    1.28 +
  • Crawley Town under 1.5 goals 69% market Bet365
    1.44 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.