Rochdale crestGrimsby crest

Rochdale v Grimsby bet builder

Tuesday 20 October 2026, 19:45 · League Two

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • Rochdale or draw

    61% the model

    Record this market has landed 83% across 274 graded picks

    Our board prices this at 61%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.63 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.14 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 54% chance all land
1.86

The model puts this 2-leg build at 54% combined for Rochdale v Grimsby. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 78% 1.20 +
  • Grimsby or Draw Double Chance 74% 1.32 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 66% 1.41 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • D. Brown Rochdale
    Shots on target 1+

    D. Brown: 0.91 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • C. Vernam Grimsby
    Shots on target 1+

    C. Vernam: 1.00 shots on target a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Cook Grimsby
    Shots on target 1+

    A. Cook: 1.00 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Flint Rochdale
    Shots on target 1+

    A. Flint: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 2.5 second half goals 85% market William Hill
    1.22 +
  • Grimsby over 4 corners 85% market 1xBet
    1.18 +
  • Over 8 corners 84% market 1xBet
    1.19 +
  • Grimsby under 2.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Under 12.5 corners 83% market Marathon Bet
    1.22 +
  • Rochdale or Grimsby (double chance) 82% market William Hill
    1.29 +
  • Grimsby under 7 corners 82% market 1xBet
    1.22 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 79% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Grimsby or Draw (double chance) 79% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Rochdale over 0.5 goals 79% market Bet365
    1.30 +
  • Over 2 goals 78% market BetVictor
    1.34 +
  • Grimsby over 1 goals 78% market Marathon Bet
    1.28 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.