Real Sociedad crestSevilla crest

Real Sociedad v Sevilla bet builder

Sunday 29 November 2026, 20:00 · La Liga

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • Real Sociedad or Draw

    78% the model

    Record this market has landed 83% across 350 graded picks

    Win if home team wins or draws. Home team favoured. Home avoid defeat 67% of games.

    1.28 +
  • Over 1.5 Goals

    75% the model

    Record this market has landed 79% across 484 graded picks

    Avg 3.2 goals/game expected. Over 1.5 highly likely in high-scoring fixture.

    1.34 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 59% chance all land
1.71

The model puts this 2-leg build at 59% combined for Real Sociedad v Sevilla. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Under 3.5 Goals 66% 1.40 +
  • Sevilla or Draw Double Chance 58% 1.73 +
  • Real Sociedad Home Win 51% 2.14 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals 50% 1.81 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • Y. Fofana Sevilla
    Shots on target 1+

    Y. Fofana: 0.67 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Miguel Ángel Sevilla
    Shots on target 1+

    Miguel Ángel: 0.63 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • L. Stassin Sevilla
    Shots on target 1+

    L. Stassin: 0.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Juan Iglesias Sevilla
    Shots on target 1+

    Juan Iglesias: 0.50 shots on target a game over 12 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Kike Salas Sevilla
    Shots on target 1+

    Kike Salas: 0.50 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 45%
    Corners: Real Sociedad avg 6.2 for/4.2 against, Sevilla avg 3.2 for/3.1 against so expected 8.3 match corners
  • Over 6.5 Match Corners 72%
    Corners: Real Sociedad avg 6.2 for/4.2 against, Sevilla avg 3.2 for/3.1 against so expected 8.3 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 4.5 Match Cards 57%
    Cards: Real Sociedad avg 2.3/game, Sevilla avg 2.8/game so expected 5.1 match cards
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 74%
    Cards: Real Sociedad avg 2.3/game, Sevilla avg 2.8/game so expected 5.1 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 50%
    Fouls: Real Sociedad avg 12.4/game, Sevilla avg 12.3/game so expected 24.7 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Real Sociedad avg 12.4/game, Sevilla avg 12.3/game so expected 24.7 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 54%
    Shots: Real Sociedad avg 14.0/game, Sevilla avg 9.2/game so expected 23.2 match shots
  • Over 18.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Real Sociedad avg 14.0/game, Sevilla avg 9.2/game so expected 23.2 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Over 0.5 second half goals 84% market William Hill
    1.22 +
  • Real Sociedad over 0.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.20 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 83% market William Hill
    1.22 +
  • Real Sociedad under 2.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 82% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Real Sociedad or Sevilla (double chance) 81% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Real Sociedad or Draw (double chance) 79% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Sevilla over 0.5 goals 76% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 75% market William Hill
    1.33 +
  • Over 2 goals 74% market 1xBet
    1.39 +
  • Under 1.5 first half goals 69% market William Hill
    1.44 +
  • Sevilla under 1.5 goals 69% market Bet365
    1.44 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.