Rayo Vallecano v Valencia bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
On the record-
1.34 +
Rayo Vallecano or draw
74% the modelRecord this market has landed 82% across 345 graded picks
Our board prices this at 74%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)
-
1.31 +
Over 2.5 Goals
76% the modelRecord this market has landed 64% across 120 graded picks
Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.
The model puts this 2-leg build at 57% combined for Rayo Vallecano v Valencia. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.
Alternative picks
- Over 1.5 Goals 75% 1.33 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 71% 1.28 +
- Valencia or Draw Double Chance 58% 1.78 +
- Rayo Vallecano Home Win 53% 2.00 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
-
Sergio Camello Rayo VallecanoShots on target 1+
Sergio Camello: 1.17 shots on target a game over 12 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
-
Sergio Camello Rayo VallecanoAnytime scorer
Sergio Camello: 0.58 goals a game over 12 games, home against a side conceding 1.67 a game
-
Jorge de Frutos Rayo VallecanoShots on target 1+
Jorge de Frutos: 0.70 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
-
A. Danjuma ValenciaShots on target 1+
A. Danjuma: 0.58 shots on target a game over 12 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
-
P. Ciss Rayo VallecanoTo be carded
P. Ciss (Defender) on 0.55 yellows/match (11 apps) [WC form: 0.00/90 over 3 games (78 min), 16% weight
-
Álvaro García Rayo VallecanoShots on target 1+
Álvaro García: 0.45 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
-
Pedro Díaz Rayo VallecanoShots on target 1+
Pedro Díaz: 0.45 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
-
Sergio Camello Rayo VallecanoShots on target 2+
Sergio Camello: 1.17 shots on target a game over 12 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
-
Over 9.5 Match Corners 47%Corners: Rayo Vallecano avg 3.8 for/5.8 against, Valencia avg 4.1 for/5.2 against so expected 9.4 match corners
-
Over 7.5 Match Corners 73%Corners: Rayo Vallecano avg 3.8 for/5.8 against, Valencia avg 4.1 for/5.2 against so expected 9.4 match corners; the safer line
-
Over 4.5 Match Cards 56%Cards: Rayo Vallecano avg 2.7/game, Valencia avg 2.3/game so expected 5.0 match cards
-
Over 3.5 Match Cards 74%Cards: Rayo Vallecano avg 2.7/game, Valencia avg 2.3/game so expected 5.0 match cards; the safer line
-
Over 24.5 Match Fouls 48%Fouls: Rayo Vallecano avg 11.1/game, Valencia avg 13.3/game so expected 24.5 match fouls
-
Over 20.5 Match Fouls 78%Fouls: Rayo Vallecano avg 11.1/game, Valencia avg 13.3/game so expected 24.5 match fouls; the safer line
-
Over 22.5 Match Shots 46%Shots: Rayo Vallecano avg 11.7/game, Valencia avg 10.5/game so expected 22.3 match shots
-
Over 18.5 Match Shots 78%Shots: Rayo Vallecano avg 11.7/game, Valencia avg 10.5/game so expected 22.3 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
-
Rayo Vallecano over 0.5 goals 83% market Bet3651.22 +
-
Over 0.5 second half goals 80% market William Hill1.29 +
-
Rayo Vallecano or Draw (double chance) 80% market William Hill1.25 +
-
Under 2 second half goals 80% market Marathon Bet1.25 +
-
Under 3.5 goals 79% market Bet3651.28 +
-
Rayo Vallecano or Valencia (double chance) 78% market William Hill1.30 +
-
Valencia under 1.5 goals 78% market Bet3651.30 +
-
Over 1.5 goals 76% market BetVictor1.34 +
-
Rayo Vallecano under 2 goals 76% market Marathon Bet1.31 +
-
Under 1.5 first half goals 74% market William Hill1.40 +
-
Over 0.5 first half goals 72% market BetVictor1.42 +
-
Valencia over 0.5 goals 71% market Bet3651.50 +
More fixtures
All previews ›
Türkiye vs Belgium
Thu 12 Nov, 17:00
UEFA Nations League
Armenia vs Cyprus
Thu 12 Nov, 17:00
UEFA Nations League
San Marino vs Belarus
Thu 12 Nov, 19:45
UEFA Nations League
England vs Croatia
Thu 12 Nov, 19:45
UEFA Nations League
Czechia vs Spain
Thu 12 Nov, 19:45
UEFA Nations League
Montenegro vs Latvia
Thu 12 Nov, 19:45
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.