Racing Santander v Real Sociedad bet builder

Sunday 22 November 2026, 16:00 · La Liga

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record

Real Sociedad or draw

71% the model

Record this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks

Our board prices this at 71%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

1.41 +
Over 2.5 Goals

80%+ the model

Record this market has landed 64% across 120 graded picks

Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 3.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

1.07 +

Combined fair odds2 legs, 67% chance all land

1.50

The model puts this 2-leg build at 67% combined for Racing Santander v Real Sociedad. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

Under 4.5 Goals 71% 1.33 +
Racing Santander or Draw Double Chance 59% 1.74 +
Under 3.5 Goals 57% 1.77 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

M. Zabiri Racing Santander

Shots on target 1+

M. Zabiri: 1.18 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Andrés Martín Racing Santander

Shots on target 1+

Andrés Martín: 1.00 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
M. Zabiri Racing Santander

Anytime scorer

M. Zabiri: 0.73 goals a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 1.82 a game
Sergio Canales Racing Santander

Shots on target 1+

Sergio Canales: 0.73 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Jorge Salinas Racing Santander

To be carded

Jorge Salinas (Defender) on 0.50 yellows/match (10 apps), pos-mult 1.10
M. Zabiri Racing Santander

Shots on target 2+

M. Zabiri: 1.18 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

Over 11.5 Match Corners 44%
Corners: Racing Santander avg 4.7 for/7.3 against, Real Sociedad avg 6.1 for/4.1 against so expected 11.1 match corners
Over 8.5 Match Corners 78%
Corners: Racing Santander avg 4.7 for/7.3 against, Real Sociedad avg 6.1 for/4.1 against so expected 11.1 match corners; the safer line
Over 4.5 Match Cards 54%
Cards: Racing Santander avg 2.6/game, Real Sociedad avg 2.3/game so expected 4.9 match cards
Over 3.5 Match Cards 72%
Cards: Racing Santander avg 2.6/game, Real Sociedad avg 2.3/game so expected 4.9 match cards; the safer line
Over 24.5 Match Fouls 51%
Fouls: Racing Santander avg 12.3/game, Real Sociedad avg 12.5/game so expected 24.7 match fouls
Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+
Fouls: Racing Santander avg 12.3/game, Real Sociedad avg 12.5/game so expected 24.7 match fouls; the safer line
Over 26.5 Match Shots 48%
Shots: Racing Santander avg 12.6/game, Real Sociedad avg 13.8/game so expected 26.4 match shots
Over 22.5 Match Shots 77%
Shots: Racing Santander avg 12.6/game, Real Sociedad avg 13.8/game so expected 26.4 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

Racing Santander over 0.5 goals 85% market Bet365
1.20 +
Over 1 second half goals 85% market Marathon Bet
1.18 +
Real Sociedad over 1 goals 85% market Marathon Bet
1.18 +
Under 2.5 first half goals 83% market Bet365
1.20 +
Racing Santander under 2.5 goals 83% market Bet365
1.20 +
Over 0.5 first half goals 83% market Bet365
1.22 +
Racing Santander or Real Sociedad (double chance) 82% market Bet365
1.25 +
Under 4.5 goals 78% market Bet365
1.30 +
Real Sociedad under 2.5 goals 75% market Bet365
1.36 +
Real Sociedad or Draw (double chance) 75% market Bet365
1.36 +
Under 2.5 second half goals 74% market Bet365
1.36 +
Both teams to score: Yes 72% market Bet365
1.40 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.