QPR crestBurnley crest

QPR v Burnley bet builder

Tuesday 3 November 2026, 19:45 · Championship

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record

  • Burnley or draw

    57% the model

    Record this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks

    Our board prices this at 58%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.74 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 119 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 3.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.07 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 54% chance all land
1.85

The model puts this 2-leg build at 54% combined for QPR v Burnley. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 78% 1.20 +
  • QPR or Draw Double Chance 77% 1.30 +
  • Over 1.5 Goals 77% 1.20 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 64% 1.45 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • R. Burrell QPR
    Shots on target 1+

    R. Burrell: 0.75 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Z. Amdouni Burnley
    Shots on target 1+

    Z. Amdouni: 0.89 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • P. Smyth QPR
    Shots on target 1+

    P. Smyth: 0.64 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • K. Poku QPR
    Shots on target 1+

    K. Poku: 0.60 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • N. Madsen QPR
    Shots on target 1+

    N. Madsen: 0.56 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • H. Vale QPR
    Shots on target 1+

    H. Vale: 0.50 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Bruun Larsen Burnley
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Bruun Larsen: 0.56 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • G. Kamara QPR
    To be carded

    G. Kamara (Midfielder) on 0.36 yellows/match (11 apps), pos-mult 1.20

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 4 goals 85% market BetVictor
    1.22 +
  • QPR under 7 corners 85% market 1xBet
    1.18 +
  • Over 7.5 corners 83% market 1xBet
    1.22 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 82% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • QPR under 2.5 goals 82% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • QPR over 4 corners 82% market 1xBet
    1.22 +
  • Burnley over 3 corners 82% market 1xBet
    1.22 +
  • QPR or Burnley (double chance) 80% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • QPR over 1 goals 80% market Marathon Bet
    1.25 +
  • Over 2 goals 79% market BetVictor
    1.32 +
  • Over 8 corners 79% market 1xBet
    1.27 +
  • Burnley under 5.5 corners 79% market 1xBet
    1.27 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.