PSV Eindhoven crestWillem II crest

PSV Eindhoven v Willem II bet builder

Saturday 31 October 2026, 17:45 · Eredivisie

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only
  • PSV Eindhoven to win

    74% the model

    Our board prices this at 74%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 50%.)

    1.35 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 4.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.07 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 69% chance all land
1.44

Built from the bookmakers' prices for PSV Eindhoven v Willem II, 69% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • PSV Eindhoven (first half) First Half 76% 1.28 +
  • Over 3.5 Goals 65% 1.32 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • G. Til PSV Eindhoven
    Shots on target 1+

    G. Til: 1.00 shots on target a game over 10 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 1 games (31 min), 7% weight

  • G. Til PSV Eindhoven
    Anytime scorer

    G. Til: 0.60 goals a game over 10 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 1 games (31 min), 7% weight

  • R. Pepi PSV Eindhoven
    Shots on target 1+

    R. Pepi: 1.00 shots on target a game over 7 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 2 games (101 min), 19% weight

  • R. van Bommel PSV Eindhoven
    Shots on target 1+

    R. van Bommel: 0.67 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Slory Willem II
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Slory: 0.80 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • I. Perišić PSV Eindhoven
    Shots on target 1+

    I. Perišić: 0.67 shots on target a game over 9 games [WC form: 0.50/90 over 2 games (180 min), 30% weight

  • D. Haen Willem II
    Shots on target 1+

    D. Haen: 0.70 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • S. Dest PSV Eindhoven
    Shots on target 1+

    S. Dest: 0.56 shots on target a game over 9 games [WC form: 0.59/90 over 2 games (152 min), 27% weight

  • Mauro Júnior PSV Eindhoven
    Shots on target 1+

    Mauro Júnior: 0.50 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • K. Sano PSV Eindhoven
    Shots on target 1+

    K. Sano: 0.44 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 10.5 Match Corners 50%
    Corners: PSV Eindhoven avg 6.8 for/4.0 against, Willem II avg 4.0 for/6.5 against so expected 10.7 match corners
  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 74%
    Corners: PSV Eindhoven avg 6.8 for/4.0 against, Willem II avg 4.0 for/6.5 against so expected 10.7 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 41%
    Cards: PSV Eindhoven avg 1.6/game, Willem II avg 1.7/game so expected 3.3 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: PSV Eindhoven avg 1.6/game, Willem II avg 1.7/game so expected 3.3 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 38%
    Fouls: PSV Eindhoven avg 9.9/game, Willem II avg 9.4/game so expected 19.3 match fouls
  • Over 16.5 Match Fouls 73%
    Fouls: PSV Eindhoven avg 9.9/game, Willem II avg 9.4/game so expected 19.3 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 74%
    Shots: PSV Eindhoven avg 18.1/game, Willem II avg 12.0/game so expected 30.1 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: PSV Eindhoven avg 18.1/game, Willem II avg 12.0/game so expected 30.1 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Same-game build one leg a market, live prices

3 legs on this fixture, one a market, priced across the books with the combined return. Built for members. Seven days for £1 opens it.

Market singles

  • PSV Eindhoven under 5.5 goals 85% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Under 15 corners 85% market 1xBet
    1.18 +
  • Over 9.5 corners 84% market Betano
    1.32 +
  • Under 6.5 goals 84% market Pinnacle
    1.19 +
  • PSV Eindhoven over 6.5 corners 83% market Betano
    1.20 +
  • Over 1.5 second half goals 82% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • PSV Eindhoven over 2.5 goals 82% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Under 6 goals 81% market 1xBet
    1.27 +
  • Willem II under 1 goals 81% market Marathon Bet
    1.38 +
  • PSV Eindhoven leading at half time 81% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Under 3.5 second half goals 80% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Willem II over 1.5 corners 79% market Betano
    1.37 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.