Portugal v Wales bet builder

Thursday 24 September 2026, 19:45 · UEFA Nations League

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only
  • Portugal

    the model's number, for members
    1.47 +
  • The call and the price are free on every leg. The model's number and the desk's reason on each are in FBB Pro, seven days for £1, with the combined price and the chance the whole build lands.
  • Over 2.5 Goals

Combined fair oddsThe model's combined price on this build, and the chance every leg lands. Seven days for £1.
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Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 1.24 +
  • Portugal (first half) First Half 1.65 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 1.56 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • João Félix Portugal
    Shots on target 1+

    João Félix: 1.59 shots on target a game over 32 games [WC form: 0.67/90 over 2 games (134 min), 24% weight

  • Bruno Fernandes Portugal
    Shots on target 1+

    Bruno Fernandes: 0.69 shots on target a game over 35 games [WC form: 1.00/90 over 2 games (180 min), 30% weight

  • Trincão Portugal
    Shots on target 1+

    Trincão: 0.70 shots on target a game over 33 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • K. Moore Wales
    Shots on target 1+

    K. Moore: 0.74 shots on target a game over 39 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • H. Wilson Wales
    Shots on target 1+

    H. Wilson: 0.69 shots on target a game over 36 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • João Félix Portugal
    Shots on target 2+

    João Félix: 1.59 shots on target a game over 32 games [WC form: 0.67/90 over 2 games (134 min), 24% weight

  • Bruno Fernandes Portugal
    Anytime assist

    Bruno Fernandes on 0.60 assists/match (35 apps, 137 key passes) [WC form: 0.50/90 over 2 games (180 min), 30% weight

  • C. Congreve Wales
    Shots on target 1+

    C. Congreve: 0.59 shots on target a game over 34 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Samú Costa Portugal
    Shots on target 1+

    Samú Costa: 0.47 shots on target a game over 34 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • S. Thomas Wales
    Shots on target 1+

    S. Thomas: 0.56 shots on target a game over 45 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • N. Williams Wales
    Shots on target 1+

    N. Williams: 0.51 shots on target a game over 37 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 4.5 goals 85% market Betano
    1.24 +
  • Portugal to win 83% market 1xBet
    1.28 +
  • Wales under 1 goals 83% market Marathon Bet
    1.22 +
  • Over 2 goals 82% market Pinnacle
    1.28 +
  • Under 2 first half goals 82% market Marathon Bet
    1.22 +
  • Portugal under 3.5 goals 81% market Betano
    1.29 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 80% market Betano
    1.31 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 80% market Betano
    1.33 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 78% market Marathon Bet
    1.28 +
  • Portugal over 1.5 goals 77% market Marathon Bet
    1.35 +
  • Portugal to win the second half 68% market William Hill
    1.55 +
FBB Pro

The daily sheet: every leg, with its chance of landing

Every leg on the card ranked by how likely it is to land, the accas built from that list, the facts behind each leg, and the calls the desk refused, with the reason. Locked before kick-off, graded in public, wins and losses alike.

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Cancel any time. 18+. This is analysis and opinion, not betting advice.