Portsmouth v Millwall bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
On the record-
1.50 +
Millwall or draw
67% the modelRecord this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks
Our board prices this at 67%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)
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1.14 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelRecord this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks
Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
The model puts this 2-leg build at 58% combined for Portsmouth v Millwall. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.
Alternative picks
- Over 1.5 Goals 77% 1.30 +
- Portsmouth or Draw Double Chance 67% 1.46 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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R. Kavuma McQueen PortsmouthShots on target 1+
R. Kavuma McQueen: 0.80 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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A. Segecic PortsmouthShots on target 1+
A. Segecic: 0.60 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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K. Lisbie MillwallShots on target 1+
K. Lisbie: 0.71 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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C. Bishop PortsmouthShots on target 1+
C. Bishop: 0.56 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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C. Neghli MillwallShots on target 1+
C. Neghli: 0.64 shots on target a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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T. Arconte MillwallShots on target 1+
T. Arconte: 0.50 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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L. Dykes MillwallShots on target 1+
L. Dykes: 0.55 shots on target a game over 11 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 2 games (40 min), 9% weight
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A. Kamara PortsmouthShots on target 1+
A. Kamara: 0.40 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Jenson Metcalfe MillwallTo be carded
Jenson Metcalfe (Midfielder) on 0.36 yellows/match (11 apps), pos-mult 1.20
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 11.5 Match Corners 52%Corners: Portsmouth avg 5.0 for/6.3 against, Millwall avg 4.6 for/7.7 against so expected 11.8 match corners
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Over 9.5 Match Corners 74%Corners: Portsmouth avg 5.0 for/6.3 against, Millwall avg 4.6 for/7.7 against so expected 11.8 match corners; the safer line
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Over 3.5 Match Cards 53%Cards: Portsmouth avg 2.3/game, Millwall avg 1.5/game so expected 3.8 match cards
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Over 2.5 Match Cards 74%Cards: Portsmouth avg 2.3/game, Millwall avg 1.5/game so expected 3.8 match cards; the safer line
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Over 22.5 Match Fouls 51%Fouls: Portsmouth avg 10.3/game, Millwall avg 12.4/game so expected 22.7 match fouls
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Over 18.5 Match Fouls 80%+Fouls: Portsmouth avg 10.3/game, Millwall avg 12.4/game so expected 22.7 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 41%Shots: Portsmouth avg 10.5/game, Millwall avg 11.1/game so expected 21.6 match shots
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Over 18.5 Match Shots 74%Shots: Portsmouth avg 10.5/game, Millwall avg 11.1/game so expected 21.6 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Over 8.5 corners 85% market 1xBet1.18 +
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Over 0.5 second half goals 83% market William Hill1.25 +
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Portsmouth under 8 corners 83% market 1xBet1.20 +
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Portsmouth over 4.5 corners 83% market Betano1.26 +
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Millwall under 6 corners 83% market 1xBet1.21 +
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Over 9 corners 82% market 1xBet1.22 +
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Under 2 second half goals 81% market Marathon Bet1.23 +
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Under 3.5 goals 80% market Bet3651.30 +
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Portsmouth over 0.5 goals 80% market Bet3651.33 +
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Over 1.5 goals 79% market Bet3651.33 +
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Millwall over 0.5 goals 79% market Bet3651.30 +
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Portsmouth or Millwall (double chance) 78% market Bet3651.33 +
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The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.