Philadelphia Union v Toronto FC bet builder

Saturday 7 November 2026, 21:00 · MLS

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

Philadelphia Union or draw

80%+ the model

The pre-match read for this game is double chance, Philadelphia Union or draw (90%). Double chance is our strongest verified market.

1.11 +
Over 2.5 Goals

80%+ the model

Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

1.14 +

Combined fair odds2 legs, 79% chance all land

1.27

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Philadelphia Union v Toronto FC, 79% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

Under 4.5 Goals 69% 1.39 +
Philadelphia Union Home Win 67% 1.43 +
Philadelphia Union (first half) First Half 56% 1.83 +
Under 3.5 Goals 55% 1.84 +
Over 3.5 Goals 54% 1.89 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

M. Iloski Philadelphia Union

Shots on target 1+

M. Iloski: 1.52 shots on target a game over 31 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Cavan Sullivan Philadelphia Union

Shots on target 1+

Cavan Sullivan: 0.96 shots on target a game over 28 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
M. Iloski Philadelphia Union

Anytime scorer

M. Iloski: 0.61 goals a game over 31 games, home against a side conceding 1.90 a game
B. Damiani Philadelphia Union

Shots on target 1+

B. Damiani: 0.69 shots on target a game over 32 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
J. Sargent Toronto FC

Shots on target 1+

J. Sargent: 0.81 shots on target a game over 26 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
M. Iloski Philadelphia Union

Shots on target 2+

M. Iloski: 1.52 shots on target a game over 31 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
D. Sallói Toronto FC

Shots on target 1+

D. Sallói: 0.76 shots on target a game over 33 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
D. Mihailović Toronto FC

Shots on target 1+

D. Mihailović: 0.67 shots on target a game over 18 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
B. Damiani Philadelphia Union

Anytime scorer

B. Damiani: 0.38 goals a game over 32 games, home against a side conceding 1.90 a game
T. Corbeanu Toronto FC

Shots on target 1+

T. Corbeanu: 0.60 shots on target a game over 20 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Neil Pierre Philadelphia Union

Shots on target 1+

Neil Pierre: 0.47 shots on target a game over 17 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Neil Pierre Philadelphia Union

Anytime scorer

Neil Pierre: 0.29 goals a game over 17 games, home against a side conceding 1.90 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

Over 9.5 Match Corners 47%
Corners: Philadelphia Union avg 5.9 for/2.7 against, Toronto FC avg 4.7 for/5.6 against so expected 9.4 match corners
Over 7.5 Match Corners 72%
Corners: Philadelphia Union avg 5.9 for/2.7 against, Toronto FC avg 4.7 for/5.6 against so expected 9.4 match corners; the safer line
Over 4.5 Match Cards 45%
Cards: Philadelphia Union avg 2.4/game, Toronto FC avg 2.0/game so expected 4.4 match cards
Over 2.5 Match Cards 80%+
Cards: Philadelphia Union avg 2.4/game, Toronto FC avg 2.0/game so expected 4.4 match cards; the safer line
Over 24.5 Match Fouls 71%
Fouls: Philadelphia Union avg 15.9/game, Toronto FC avg 11.6/game so expected 27.5 match fouls
Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+
Fouls: Philadelphia Union avg 15.9/game, Toronto FC avg 11.6/game so expected 27.5 match fouls; the safer line
Over 26.5 Match Shots 67%
Shots: Philadelphia Union avg 16.6/game, Toronto FC avg 12.5/game so expected 29.0 match shots
Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
Shots: Philadelphia Union avg 16.6/game, Toronto FC avg 12.5/game so expected 29.0 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

Under 2.5 first half goals 83% market William Hill
1.22 +
Philadelphia Union under 3.5 goals 82% market Bet365
1.25 +
Philadelphia Union over 1.5 goals 78% market Bet365
1.33 +
Under 12.5 corners 78% market Betano
1.29 +
Over 1 first half goals 76% market BetVictor
1.36 +
Over 2.5 goals 76% market Bet365
1.36 +
Under 4.5 goals 75% market Bet365
1.33 +
Over 8.5 corners 75% market Betano
1.33 +
Under 2.5 second half goals 74% market Bet365
1.40 +
Toronto FC under 1.5 goals 74% market Bet365
1.40 +
Toronto FC over 0.5 goals 74% market Bet365
1.40 +
Philadelphia Union to win 71% market Bet365
1.45 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.