PEC Zwolle crestAZ Alkmaar crest

PEC Zwolle v AZ Alkmaar bet builder

Sunday 29 November 2026, 15:45 · Eredivisie

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

  • AZ Alkmaar crestAZ Alkmaar

    57% the model

    5th visits 13th. Hosts struggling.

    1.75 +

  • Under 3.5 Goals

    57% the model

    Avg 3.2 goals/game expected.

    1.77 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 32% chance all land
3.09

Built from the bookmakers' prices for PEC Zwolle v AZ Alkmaar, 32% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 71% 1.33 +
  • AZ Alkmaar (first half) First Half 51% 1.97 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • K. Kostons PEC Zwolle
    Shots on target 1+

    K. Kostons: 1.00 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • T. Sommer PEC Zwolle
    Shots on target 1+

    T. Sommer: 0.58 shots on target a game over 12 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • T. Oosting PEC Zwolle
    Shots on target 1+

    T. Oosting: 0.58 shots on target a game over 12 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • D. Mbayo PEC Zwolle
    Shots on target 1+

    D. Mbayo: 0.50 shots on target a game over 12 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 10.5 Match Corners 53%
    Corners: PEC Zwolle avg 4.8 for/6.2 against, AZ Alkmaar avg 7.0 for/3.9 against so expected 10.9 match corners
  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 76%
    Corners: PEC Zwolle avg 4.8 for/6.2 against, AZ Alkmaar avg 7.0 for/3.9 against so expected 10.9 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 47%
    Cards: PEC Zwolle avg 1.3/game, AZ Alkmaar avg 1.3/game so expected 2.6 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 73%
    Cards: PEC Zwolle avg 1.3/game, AZ Alkmaar avg 1.3/game so expected 2.6 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Fouls 54%
    Fouls: PEC Zwolle avg 11.3/game, AZ Alkmaar avg 11.9/game so expected 23.2 match fouls
  • Over 18.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: PEC Zwolle avg 11.3/game, AZ Alkmaar avg 11.9/game so expected 23.2 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 79%
    Shots: PEC Zwolle avg 13.6/game, AZ Alkmaar avg 17.5/game so expected 31.1 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: PEC Zwolle avg 13.6/game, AZ Alkmaar avg 17.5/game so expected 31.1 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • PEC Zwolle or AZ Alkmaar (double chance) 85% market Bet365
    1.20 +
  • AZ Alkmaar under 3.5 goals 84% market Bet365
    1.20 +
  • Under 2.5 first half goals 83% market Bet365
    1.20 +
  • Under 4.5 goals 78% market Bet365
    1.30 +
  • AZ Alkmaar under 3 goals 78% market Marathon Bet
    1.29 +
  • Under 2 first half goals 76% market Marathon Bet
    1.32 +
  • PEC Zwolle over 0.5 goals 75% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 74% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Over 2.5 goals 73% market Bet365
    1.40 +
  • PEC Zwolle under 1.5 goals 71% market Bet365
    1.40 +
  • Under 4 goals 71% market Betano
    1.47 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.