Parma crestAS Roma crest

Parma v AS Roma bet builder

Saturday 21 November 2026, 17:00 · Serie A

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • AS Roma crestAS Roma

    64% the model

    Record this market has landed 53% across 49 graded picks

    3rd visits 15th.

    1.56 +
  • Over 1.5 Goals

    79% the model

    Record this market has landed 79% across 461 graded picks

    Avg 3.1 goals/game expected. Over 1.5 highly likely in high-scoring fixture.

    1.27 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 50% chance all land
1.99

The model puts this 2-leg build at 50% combined for Parma v AS Roma. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 77% 1.22 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 61% 1.53 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals 60% 1.62 +
  • AS Roma (first half) First Half 56% 1.82 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • M. Soulé AS Roma
    Shots on target 1+

    M. Soulé: 1.20 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • E. Touré Parma
    Shots on target 1+

    E. Touré: 0.60 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • N. Pisilli AS Roma
    Shots on target 1+

    N. Pisilli: 0.56 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • S. Lontani Parma
    Shots on target 1+

    S. Lontani: 0.40 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 49%
    Corners: Parma avg 3.3 for/6.3 against, AS Roma avg 5.6 for/4.0 against so expected 9.6 match corners
  • Over 7.5 Match Corners 74%
    Corners: Parma avg 3.3 for/6.3 against, AS Roma avg 5.6 for/4.0 against so expected 9.6 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 57%
    Cards: Parma avg 1.2/game, AS Roma avg 1.8/game so expected 3.0 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Parma avg 1.2/game, AS Roma avg 1.8/game so expected 3.0 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Fouls 43%
    Fouls: Parma avg 10.0/game, AS Roma avg 11.8/game so expected 21.8 match fouls
  • Over 18.5 Match Fouls 76%
    Fouls: Parma avg 10.0/game, AS Roma avg 11.8/game so expected 21.8 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 44%
    Shots: Parma avg 9.9/game, AS Roma avg 16.0/game so expected 25.9 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 74%
    Shots: Parma avg 9.9/game, AS Roma avg 16.0/game so expected 25.9 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Parma under 1.5 goals 85% market Bet365
    1.18 +
  • AS Roma under 3.5 goals 84% market Bet365
    1.20 +
  • Under 2 first half goals 83% market Marathon Bet
    1.21 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 82% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Under 4 goals 82% market 1xBet
    1.27 +
  • Over 2 goals 80% market 1xBet
    1.29 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 79% market William Hill
    1.29 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 78% market Marathon Bet
    1.28 +
  • AS Roma under 3 goals 78% market Marathon Bet
    1.28 +
  • AS Roma to win 75% market Bet365
    1.40 +
  • Parma under 1 goals 70% market Marathon Bet
    1.43 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.