Palmeiras v Bahia bet builder

Friday 9 October 2026, 01:30 · Brasileirão Série A

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only
  • Palmeiras

    the model's number, for members
    1.78 +
  • The call and the price are free on every leg. The model's number and the desk's reason on each are in FBB Pro, seven days for £1, with the combined price and the chance the whole build lands.
  • Over 1.5 Goals

Combined fair oddsThe model's combined price on this build, and the chance every leg lands. Seven days for £1.
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Alternative picks

  • Under 3.5 Goals 1.40 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • Vitor Roque Palmeiras
    Shots on target 1+

    Vitor Roque: 0.94 shots on target a game over 16 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • C. Olivera Bahia
    Shots on target 1+

    C. Olivera: 0.90 shots on target a game over 20 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Allan Palmeiras
    Shots on target 1+

    Allan: 0.71 shots on target a game over 21 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Luciano Juba Bahia
    Shots on target 1+

    Luciano Juba: 0.67 shots on target a game over 24 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Erick Pulga Bahia
    Shots on target 1+

    Erick Pulga: 0.52 shots on target a game over 27 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 50%
    Corners: Palmeiras avg 6.3 for/3.9 against, Bahia avg 4.6 for/4.6 against so expected 9.6 match corners
  • Over 7.5 Match Corners 75%
    Corners: Palmeiras avg 6.3 for/3.9 against, Bahia avg 4.6 for/4.6 against so expected 9.6 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 4.5 Match Cards 53%
    Cards: Palmeiras avg 2.7/game, Bahia avg 2.1/game so expected 4.9 match cards
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Palmeiras avg 2.7/game, Bahia avg 2.1/game so expected 4.9 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 47%
    Fouls: Palmeiras avg 13.4/game, Bahia avg 10.9/game so expected 24.2 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 77%
    Fouls: Palmeiras avg 13.4/game, Bahia avg 10.9/game so expected 24.2 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 78%
    Shots: Palmeiras avg 18.2/game, Bahia avg 12.5/game so expected 30.8 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Palmeiras avg 18.2/game, Bahia avg 12.5/game so expected 30.8 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Palmeiras or Bahia (double chance) 85% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Palmeiras over 1 goals 85% market Marathon Bet
    1.18 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 84% market Betano
    1.25 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 83% market Betano
    1.27 +
  • Bahia under 1.5 goals 80% market Betano
    1.28 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 77% market Betano
    1.39 +
  • Over 2 goals 76% market Betano
    1.37 +
  • Palmeiras under 2.5 goals 75% market Betano
    1.37 +
  • Under 2 second half goals 75% market Marathon Bet
    1.33 +
  • Under 1.5 first half goals 68% market William Hill
    1.50 +
FBB Pro

The daily sheet: every leg, with its chance of landing

Every leg on the card ranked by how likely it is to land, the accas built from that list, the facts behind each leg, and the calls the desk refused, with the reason. Locked before kick-off, graded in public, wins and losses alike.

Seven days for £1 then £9.99 a month, cancel any time
Cancel any time. 18+. This is analysis and opinion, not betting advice.