Osasuna v Malaga bet builder

Sunday 22 November 2026, 16:00 · La Liga

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record

Osasuna or draw

80%+ the model

Record this market has landed 82% across 340 graded picks

The pre-match read for this game is double chance, Osasuna or draw (90%). Double chance is our strongest verified market.

1.11 +
Over 2.5 Goals

76% the model

Record this market has landed 64% across 120 graded picks

Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.

1.31 +

Combined fair odds2 legs, 69% chance all land

1.46

The model puts this 2-leg build at 69% combined for Osasuna v Malaga. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

Over 1.5 Goals 77% 1.29 +
Under 3.5 Goals 68% 1.33 +
Osasuna Home Win 59% 1.77 +
Malaga or Draw Double Chance 51% 2.05 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

A. Budimir Osasuna

Shots on target 1+

A. Budimir: 1.55 shots on target a game over 11 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 1 games (66 min), 14% weight
Raúl García Osasuna

Shots on target 1+

Raúl García: 0.55 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Chupe Malaga

Shots on target 1+

Chupe: 0.64 shots on target a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
A. Budimir Osasuna

Shots on target 2+

A. Budimir: 1.55 shots on target a game over 11 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 1 games (66 min), 14% weight
A. Budimir Osasuna

Anytime scorer

A. Budimir: 0.73 goals a game over 11 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 1 games (66 min), 14% weight
Jonathan Dubasin Osasuna

Shots on target 1+

Jonathan Dubasin: 0.45 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
David Larrubia Malaga

To be carded

David Larrubia (Midfielder) on 0.36 yellows/match (11 apps), pos-mult 1.20

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

Over 9.5 Match Corners 41%
Corners: Osasuna avg 3.8 for/4.5 against, Malaga avg 5.1 for/4.7 against so expected 9.0 match corners
Over 6.5 Match Corners 79%
Corners: Osasuna avg 3.8 for/4.5 against, Malaga avg 5.1 for/4.7 against so expected 9.0 match corners; the safer line
Over 4.5 Match Cards 48%
Cards: Osasuna avg 2.4/game, Malaga avg 2.1/game so expected 4.6 match cards
Over 2.5 Match Cards 80%+
Cards: Osasuna avg 2.4/game, Malaga avg 2.1/game so expected 4.6 match cards; the safer line
Over 24.5 Match Fouls 52%
Fouls: Osasuna avg 13.6/game, Malaga avg 11.3/game so expected 25.0 match fouls
Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+
Fouls: Osasuna avg 13.6/game, Malaga avg 11.3/game so expected 25.0 match fouls; the safer line
Over 22.5 Match Shots 30%
Shots: Osasuna avg 10.3/game, Malaga avg 10.0/game so expected 20.3 match shots
Over 16.5 Match Shots 80%+
Shots: Osasuna avg 10.3/game, Malaga avg 10.0/game so expected 20.3 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

Under 2.5 second half goals 85% market Bet365
1.18 +
Over 0.5 second half goals 82% market Bet365
1.22 +
Osasuna or Malaga (double chance) 81% market Bet365
1.28 +
Osasuna under 2.5 goals 80% market Bet365
1.25 +
Malaga under 1.5 goals 80% market Bet365
1.28 +
Over 1.5 goals 79% market Bet365
1.28 +
Osasuna over 1 goals 78% market Marathon Bet
1.28 +
Under 3.5 goals 76% market Bet365
1.33 +
Over 0.5 first half goals 74% market Bet365
1.36 +
Under 1.5 first half goals 71% market Bet365
1.40 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.