Omonia Nicosia crestBenfica crest

Omonia Nicosia v Benfica bet builder

Thursday 22 October 2026, 20:00 · Europa League

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only
  • Benfica or draw

    80%+ the model

    The pre-match read for this game is double chance, Benfica or draw (90%).

    1.11 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.14 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 79% chance all land
1.27

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Omonia Nicosia v Benfica, 79% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 77% 1.23 +
  • Benfica Away Win 64% 1.38 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 60% 1.54 +
  • Benfica (first half) First Half 55% 1.82 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • J. Montnor Omonia Nicosia
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Montnor: 0.67 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • D. Lukebakio Benfica
    Shots on target 1+

    D. Lukebakio: 0.60 shots on target a game over 5 games [WC form: 2.37/90 over 1 games (38 min), 8% weight

  • L. Diony Omonia Nicosia
    Shots on target 1+

    L. Diony: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • G. Prestianni Benfica
    Shots on target 1+

    G. Prestianni: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • S. Coulibaly Omonia Nicosia
    Shots on target 1+

    S. Coulibaly: 0.40 shots on target a game over 5 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 10.5 Match Corners 42%
    Corners: Omonia Nicosia avg 5.0 for/5.3 against, Benfica avg 7.2 for/2.5 against so expected 10.1 match corners
  • Over 7.5 Match Corners 78%
    Corners: Omonia Nicosia avg 5.0 for/5.3 against, Benfica avg 7.2 for/2.5 against so expected 10.1 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 58%
    Cards: Omonia Nicosia avg 1.3/game, Benfica avg 1.7/game so expected 3.0 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Omonia Nicosia avg 1.3/game, Benfica avg 1.7/game so expected 3.0 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 25%
    Fouls: Omonia Nicosia avg 7.3/game, Benfica avg 10.5/game so expected 17.8 match fouls
  • Over 14.5 Match Fouls 78%
    Fouls: Omonia Nicosia avg 7.3/game, Benfica avg 10.5/game so expected 17.8 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 78%
    Shots: Omonia Nicosia avg 13.0/game, Benfica avg 17.8/game so expected 30.8 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Omonia Nicosia avg 13.0/game, Benfica avg 17.8/game so expected 30.8 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 4.5 goals 85% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Omonia Nicosia under 5 corners 84% market 1xBet
    1.19 +
  • Omonia Nicosia under 1.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.20 +
  • Over 7.5 corners 83% market Betano
    1.24 +
  • Under 12.5 corners 83% market Betano
    1.21 +
  • Under 2 first half goals 82% market Marathon Bet
    1.22 +
  • Benfica under 8.5 corners 82% market Betano
    1.22 +
  • Over 2 goals 81% market BetVictor
    1.29 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 80% market William Hill
    1.29 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 80% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Benfica over 4.5 corners 79% market Betano
    1.27 +
  • Benfica under 3 goals 79% market Marathon Bet
    1.27 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.