Nice crestParis Saint Germain crest

Nice v Paris Saint Germain bet builder

Saturday 21 November 2026, 16:15 · Ligue 1

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • Paris Saint Germain or draw

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks

    The pre-match read for this game is double chance, Paris Saint Germain or draw (90%).

    1.11 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 120 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 3.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.07 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 84% chance all land
1.18

The model puts this 2-leg build at 84% combined for Nice v Paris Saint Germain. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 69% 1.38 +
  • Paris Saint Germain Away Win 61% 1.47 +
  • Paris Saint Germain (first half) First Half 55% 1.88 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 55% 1.85 +
  • Over 3.5 Goals 51% 2.00 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • E. Wahi Nice
    Shots on target 1+

    E. Wahi: 1.25 shots on target a game over 8 games [WC form: 1.61/90 over 1 games (56 min), 12% weight

  • D. Doué Paris Saint Germain
    Shots on target 1+

    D. Doué: 1.00 shots on target a game over 8 games [WC form: 2.03/90 over 2 games (177 min), 30% weight

  • J. Clauss Nice
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Clauss: 0.78 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • M. Amoura Nice
    Shots on target 1+

    M. Amoura: 0.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • E. Wahi Nice
    Shots on target 2+

    E. Wahi: 1.25 shots on target a game over 8 games [WC form: 1.61/90 over 1 games (56 min), 12% weight

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 48%
    Corners: Nice avg 5.7 for/3.4 against, Paris Saint Germain avg 5.0 for/2.9 against so expected 8.5 match corners
  • Over 6.5 Match Corners 75%
    Corners: Nice avg 5.7 for/3.4 against, Paris Saint Germain avg 5.0 for/2.9 against so expected 8.5 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 45%
    Cards: Nice avg 2.6/game, Paris Saint Germain avg 0.9/game so expected 3.4 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Nice avg 2.6/game, Paris Saint Germain avg 0.9/game so expected 3.4 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 25%
    Fouls: Nice avg 9.8/game, Paris Saint Germain avg 8.0/game so expected 17.8 match fouls
  • Over 14.5 Match Fouls 78%
    Fouls: Nice avg 9.8/game, Paris Saint Germain avg 8.0/game so expected 17.8 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 60%
    Shots: Nice avg 11.6/game, Paris Saint Germain avg 16.3/game so expected 28.0 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Nice avg 11.6/game, Paris Saint Germain avg 16.3/game so expected 28.0 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Nice or Paris Saint Germain (double chance) 85% market William Hill
    1.18 +
  • Under 2.5 first half goals 83% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Paris Saint Germain under 3.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Under 2 first half goals 76% market Marathon Bet
    1.36 +
  • Under 4.5 goals 76% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Paris Saint Germain over 1.5 goals 76% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Over 2.5 goals 75% market Bet365
    1.40 +
  • Nice under 1.5 goals 74% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 74% market Bet365
    1.40 +
  • Nice over 0.5 goals 74% market Bet365
    1.40 +
  • Paris Saint Germain to win 69% market Bet365
    1.45 +
  • Under 4 goals 68% market Betano
    1.53 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.