Bet Builder · Fixture Tip

New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union Bet Builder Tip

Sunday 16 August 2026, 23:00 · MLS

⚙️ A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

Our Model's Picks

Live bookie odds · verified record coming soon

Our 2-Leg Bet Builder

Combined probability: 44.3% · Combined fair odds: 2.26

  • New York City FC or Draw

    Probability: 82.6% · Fair odds: 1.21

    Win if home team wins or draws. Home avoid defeat 64% of games.

  • Both Teams to Score

    Probability: 53.6% · Fair odds: 1.87

    New York FC 71% to score. Philadelph... 78% to score (avg 1.7/game).

Built from the bookmakers' fair odds for New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union, 44.3% combined. Legs treated as independent, so treat this as a guide.

We are tracking this market and will publish its verified record once we have the data. Informational for now, built from live bookmaker odds.

Alternative Picks

  • New York City FC · Home Win 53.3% @1.70
  • Philadelphia Union or Draw · Double Chance 51.1% @2.08

More to Build With

Extra markets · not tracked

Match Stats

Informational only, not part of our tracked record. These corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.

  • Over 8.5 Match Corners, 11% Corners: New York City FC avg 2.0 for/2.8 against, Philadelphia Union avg 4.0 for/2.2 against → expected 5.5 match corners
  • Over 4.5 Match Cards, 45% Cards: New York City FC avg 1.8/game, Philadelphia Union avg 2.6/game → expected 4.4 match cards
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls, 57% Fouls: New York City FC avg 9.5/game, Philadelphia Union avg 16.0/game → expected 25.5 match fouls
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots, 49% Shots: New York City FC avg 13.8/game, Philadelphia Union avg 12.8/game → expected 26.6 match shots

How is this built?

This bet builder is auto-generated by our football model across hundreds of weekly picks. Every leg is a team market (match result, goals, BTTS). Each leg shows the model's probability alongside the fair odds, so you can see exactly where we think the edge is. We don't cherry-pick wins; we log every prediction we publish, win or lose. Player markets shown above are informational only and never count toward that record. This is a league we don't have a proven record on yet, so these legs are the model's read on the bookies' odds, not yet part of our verified record.

View our full verified track record →  |  Full match preview →

What the market itself rates likely

Taken from bookmaker prices with the margin still inside. These are the bookmakers' own numbers, not our model, and no record of ours stands behind them. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • New York City FC or Draw (double chance) 85% best 1.22 Bet365
  • Under 4 goals 84% best 1.19 Marathon Bet
  • New York City FC over 1 goals 84% best 1.19 Marathon Bet
  • New York City FC or Philadelphia Union (double chance) 83% best 1.25 Bet365
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 82% best 1.30 Betano
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 80% best 1.34 Betano
  • Over 2 goals 79% best 1.26 Marathon Bet
  • Over 1 second half goals 78% best 1.29 Marathon Bet
  • New York City FC under 2.5 goals 75% best 1.39 Betano
  • Philadelphia Union under 1.5 goals 74% best 1.40 Bet365
  • Philadelphia Union over 0.5 goals 74% best 1.44 Betano