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IF Brommapojkarna know what's at stake, and so do Malmo FF.
A Allsvenskan meeting between IF Brommapojkarna (12th, 31 pts) and Malmo FF (6th, 49 pts). Two sides with their own objectives and plenty to play for.
J. Stryger Larsen has been Malmo FF's main threat, with 0 goals and 0 assists in 6 appearances.
Too close to call with any conviction. IF Brommapojkarna edge it at 0% but a draw (0%) is just as likely. One to tread carefully with.
The bookmakers have priced this match fairly. Our model doesn't see a big edge in the match result market.
IF Brommapojkarna will be looking to make home advantage count (W4 D0 L11 at home). Malmo FF's away record reads W6 D6 L3. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. Malmo FF could be in for a similar cool-off. 1.5 goals a game against chance quality worth only 1.2. Hot finishing has been covering for the fact they aren't creating that much.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
IF Brommapojkarna create chances worth 0.8 a game (and give up chances worth 1.4), leaving them -0.6 a game on the balance. Malmo FF create 1.2 (giving up 1.1) for a balance of +0.1. On the quality of chances, Malmo FF look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. Malmo FF are also scoring more than their chances suggest (1.5 goals vs chance quality of 1.2). Both runs could cool off at once.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. IF Brommapojkarna average 1.3 goals per game and Malmo FF manage 1.5. Combined that's just 2.8. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | IF Brommapojkarna Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Malmo FF Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
IF Brommapojkarna vs Malmo FF kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 13:00 in the Allsvenskan.