New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Form, fitness, fine margins. New England Revolution and Houston Dynamo meet in a fixture that could swing either way.
New England Revolution welcome Houston Dynamo in the MLS. We've crunched the numbers. Here's our preview.
Carles Gil has been New England Revolution's spearhead, with 5 goals and 3 assists in 15 appearances, averaging 0.73 shots on target per game. Guilherme has been Houston Dynamo's main threat, with 8 goals and 4 assists in 15 appearances, averaging 1.33 shots on target per game.
Both sets of fans can dream here: this is two in-form sides on a collision course. New England Revolution come in on a W-D-L-W-L run, Houston Dynamo have gone W-D-D-W-L, and neither will fear the other. When form meets form like this, something has to give, and whichever way it breaks, it should be a proper occasion. New England Revolution's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
New England Revolution create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 1.4), leaving them -0.2 a game on the balance. Houston Dynamo create 1.4 (giving up 1.7) for a balance of -0.3. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath. A worry for New England Revolution: the chances they're creating lately are worth 0.8 a game, well below their 1.2 season figure. The attacking output has dipped.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. New England Revolution average 1.3 goals per game and Houston Dynamo manage 1.3. Combined that's just 2.6. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | New England Revolution Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Houston Dynamo Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 21:30 in the MLS.