New England Revolution crestPhiladelphia Union crest

New England Revolution v Philadelphia Union bet builder

Saturday 21 November 2026, 19:00 · MLS

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

  • Philadelphia Union or draw

    71% the model

    Our board prices this at 71%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.42 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.14 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 62% chance all land
1.62

Built from the bookmakers' prices for New England Revolution v Philadelphia Union, 62% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 77% 1.23 +
  • New England Revolution or Draw Double Chance 60% 1.66 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 59% 1.56 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • M. Iloski Philadelphia Union
    Shots on target 1+

    M. Iloski: 1.52 shots on target a game over 31 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • P. Miller New England Revolution
    Shots on target 1+

    P. Miller: 1.13 shots on target a game over 30 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • D. Turgeman New England Revolution
    Shots on target 1+

    D. Turgeman: 0.91 shots on target a game over 33 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Carles Gil New England Revolution
    Shots on target 1+

    Carles Gil: 0.88 shots on target a game over 34 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Cavan Sullivan Philadelphia Union
    Shots on target 1+

    Cavan Sullivan: 1.03 shots on target a game over 29 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • B. Damiani Philadelphia Union
    Shots on target 1+

    B. Damiani: 0.73 shots on target a game over 33 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • M. Iloski Philadelphia Union
    Anytime scorer

    M. Iloski: 0.61 goals a game over 31 games, away against a side conceding 1.50 a game

  • L. Langoni New England Revolution
    Shots on target 1+

    L. Langoni: 0.56 shots on target a game over 25 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • M. Iloski Philadelphia Union
    Shots on target 2+

    M. Iloski: 1.52 shots on target a game over 31 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Carles Gil New England Revolution
    Anytime scorer

    Carles Gil: 0.38 goals a game over 34 games, home against a side conceding 1.50 a game

  • P. Miller New England Revolution
    Shots on target 2+

    P. Miller: 1.13 shots on target a game over 30 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 10.5 Match Corners 43%
    Corners: New England Revolution avg 5.6 for/6.2 against, Philadelphia Union avg 5.9 for/2.6 against so expected 10.1 match corners
  • Over 7.5 Match Corners 79%
    Corners: New England Revolution avg 5.6 for/6.2 against, Philadelphia Union avg 5.9 for/2.6 against so expected 10.1 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 50%
    Cards: New England Revolution avg 1.3/game, Philadelphia Union avg 2.4/game so expected 3.7 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: New England Revolution avg 1.3/game, Philadelphia Union avg 2.4/game so expected 3.7 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 44%
    Fouls: New England Revolution avg 8.1/game, Philadelphia Union avg 15.8/game so expected 23.9 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 75%
    Fouls: New England Revolution avg 8.1/game, Philadelphia Union avg 15.8/game so expected 23.9 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 63%
    Shots: New England Revolution avg 11.8/game, Philadelphia Union avg 16.7/game so expected 28.5 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: New England Revolution avg 11.8/game, Philadelphia Union avg 16.7/game so expected 28.5 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Over 2 goals 85% market Marathon Bet
    1.18 +
  • New England Revolution over 0.5 goals 84% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Under 2 first half goals 82% market Marathon Bet
    1.22 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 81% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 81% market Marathon Bet
    1.23 +
  • Philadelphia Union over 1 goals 81% market Marathon Bet
    1.23 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 80% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • New England Revolution or Philadelphia Union (double chance) 80% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Philadelphia Union under 2.5 goals 80% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • New England Revolution under 2 goals 80% market Marathon Bet
    1.25 +
  • Under 4 goals 79% market Betano
    1.44 +
  • Under 12.5 corners 79% market Betano
    1.27 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.