NEC Nijmegen v PSV Eindhoven bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
No record in this league yet, the market's prices only-
1.11 +
PSV Eindhoven or draw
80%+ the modelThe pre-match read for this game is double chance, PSV Eindhoven or draw (90%).
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1.07 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelGoals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 3.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
Built from the bookmakers' prices for NEC Nijmegen v PSV Eindhoven, 84% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.
Alternative picks
- Under 4.5 Goals 65% 1.49 +
- PSV Eindhoven Away Win 57% 1.51 +
- PSV Eindhoven (first half) First Half 53% 1.90 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 50% 2.06 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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S. Mijnans PSV EindhovenShots on target 1+
S. Mijnans: 1.11 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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G. Til PSV EindhovenShots on target 1+
G. Til: 1.00 shots on target a game over 11 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 1 games (31 min), 7% weight
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R. van Bommel PSV EindhovenShots on target 1+
R. van Bommel: 0.70 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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S. Dest PSV EindhovenShots on target 1+
S. Dest: 0.60 shots on target a game over 10 games [WC form: 0.59/90 over 2 games (152 min), 27% weight
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I. Perišić PSV EindhovenShots on target 1+
I. Perišić: 0.60 shots on target a game over 10 games [WC form: 0.50/90 over 2 games (180 min), 30% weight
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Mauro Júnior PSV EindhovenShots on target 1+
Mauro Júnior: 0.55 shots on target a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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G. Til PSV EindhovenAnytime scorer
G. Til: 0.64 goals a game over 11 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 1 games (31 min), 7% weight
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K. Sano PSV EindhovenShots on target 1+
K. Sano: 0.50 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 10.5 Match Corners 46%Corners: NEC Nijmegen avg 6.7 for/2.9 against, PSV Eindhoven avg 7.3 for/3.9 against so expected 10.4 match corners
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Over 7.5 Match Corners 80%+Corners: NEC Nijmegen avg 6.7 for/2.9 against, PSV Eindhoven avg 7.3 for/3.9 against so expected 10.4 match corners; the safer line
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Over 2.5 Match Cards 46%Cards: NEC Nijmegen avg 1.3/game, PSV Eindhoven avg 1.2/game so expected 2.5 match cards
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Over 20.5 Match Fouls 55%Fouls: NEC Nijmegen avg 11.8/game, PSV Eindhoven avg 9.4/game so expected 21.2 match fouls
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Over 16.5 Match Fouls 80%+Fouls: NEC Nijmegen avg 11.8/game, PSV Eindhoven avg 9.4/game so expected 21.2 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 26.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: NEC Nijmegen avg 17.6/game, PSV Eindhoven avg 19.6/game so expected 37.3 match shots
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: NEC Nijmegen avg 17.6/game, PSV Eindhoven avg 19.6/game so expected 37.3 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Under 3 second half goals 84% market Marathon Bet1.19 +
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NEC Nijmegen under 2 goals 84% market Marathon Bet1.19 +
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Under 5 goals 82% market 1xBet1.26 +
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Over 2.5 goals 80% market Bet3651.28 +
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NEC Nijmegen over 0.5 goals 80% market Bet3651.28 +
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Over 1 first half goals 80% market Betano1.35 +
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PSV Eindhoven over 1.5 goals 79% market Bet3651.30 +
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Under 2.5 first half goals 79% market William Hill1.29 +
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PSV Eindhoven under 3.5 goals 78% market Bet3651.28 +
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Both teams to score: Yes 74% market Bet3651.40 +
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Over 3 goals 74% market Betano1.44 +
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Under 2.5 second half goals 69% market Bet3651.50 +
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The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.