Napoli crestTorino crest

Napoli v Torino bet builder

Saturday 21 November 2026, 19:45 · Serie A

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • Napoli crestNapoli

    65% the model

    Record this market has landed 71% across 199 graded picks

    Higher in table. Napoli unbeaten in 4 at home.

    1.55 +
  • Over 1.5 Goals

    76% the model

    Record this market has landed 79% across 461 graded picks

    Avg 3.0 goals/game expected. Over 1.5 highly likely in high-scoring fixture.

    1.31 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 49% chance all land
2.03

The model puts this 2-leg build at 49% combined for Napoli v Torino. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Under 3.5 Goals 63% 1.46 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals 56% 1.69 +
  • Napoli (first half) First Half 53% 1.93 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • C. Adams Torino
    Shots on target 1+

    C. Adams: 0.75 shots on target a game over 8 games [WC form: 0.61/90 over 3 games (148 min), 26% weight

  • G. Simeone Torino
    Shots on target 1+

    G. Simeone: 0.50 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • N. Vlašić Torino
    Shots on target 1+

    N. Vlašić: 0.40 shots on target a game over 10 games [WC form: 0.90/90 over 2 games (100 min), 19% weight

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 50%
    Corners: Napoli avg 5.0 for/4.3 against, Torino avg 3.7 for/4.4 against so expected 8.7 match corners
  • Over 6.5 Match Corners 76%
    Corners: Napoli avg 5.0 for/4.3 against, Torino avg 3.7 for/4.4 against so expected 8.7 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 44%
    Cards: Napoli avg 1.4/game, Torino avg 1.0/game so expected 2.4 match cards
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 34%
    Fouls: Napoli avg 8.7/game, Torino avg 10.1/game so expected 18.9 match fouls
  • Over 14.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Napoli avg 8.7/game, Torino avg 10.1/game so expected 18.9 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Shots 48%
    Shots: Napoli avg 13.8/game, Torino avg 10.6/game so expected 24.4 match shots
  • Over 20.5 Match Shots 78%
    Shots: Napoli avg 13.8/game, Torino avg 10.6/game so expected 24.4 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 4 goals 85% market 1xBet
    1.23 +
  • Under 2 first half goals 85% market Marathon Bet
    1.18 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 84% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Torino under 1.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.20 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 82% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Napoli under 3 goals 82% market Marathon Bet
    1.22 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 78% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 76% market Marathon Bet
    1.32 +
  • Napoli to win 71% market Bet365
    1.45 +
  • Napoli under 2.5 goals 69% market Bet365
    1.44 +
  • Torino under 1 goals 69% market Marathon Bet
    1.44 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.