Monaco crestAuxerre crest

Monaco v Auxerre bet builder

Saturday 21 November 2026, 19:45 · Ligue 1

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • Monaco or draw

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 82% across 332 graded picks

    The pre-match read for this game is double chance, Monaco or draw (90%). Double chance is our strongest verified market.

    1.11 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 120 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 3.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.07 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 84% chance all land
1.18

The model puts this 2-leg build at 84% combined for Monaco v Auxerre. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 74% 1.28 +
  • Monaco Home Win 67% 1.40 +
  • Monaco (first half) First Half 56% 1.81 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 55% 1.67 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • Paris Josua Brunner Monaco
    Shots on target 1+

    Paris Josua Brunner: 1.29 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • R. Faivre Auxerre
    Shots on target 1+

    R. Faivre: 1.00 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • D. Namaso Auxerre
    Shots on target 1+

    D. Namaso: 0.89 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • S. Idumbo-Muzambo Monaco
    Shots on target 1+

    S. Idumbo-Muzambo: 0.60 shots on target a game over 5 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Golovin Monaco
    Shots on target 1+

    A. Golovin: 0.56 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • D. Zakaria Monaco
    Shots on target 1+

    D. Zakaria: 0.44 shots on target a game over 9 games [WC form: 1.00/90 over 1 games (90 min), 18% weight

  • M. Abline Monaco
    Shots on target 1+

    M. Abline: 0.50 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Paris Josua Brunner Monaco
    Shots on target 2+

    Paris Josua Brunner: 1.29 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 2.5 first half goals 85% market William Hill
    1.18 +
  • Monaco under 3.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 83% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 82% market Marathon Bet
    1.22 +
  • Under 4.5 goals 81% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Auxerre under 1.5 goals 81% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 77% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Monaco over 1.5 goals 75% market Bet365
    1.40 +
  • Under 4 goals 75% market 1xBet
    1.39 +
  • Monaco to win 74% market Bet365
    1.40 +
  • Over 2.5 goals 69% market Bet365
    1.50 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.