Moldova crestKazakhstan crest

Moldova v Kazakhstan bet builder

Friday 13 November 2026, 17:00 · UEFA Nations League

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only
  • Kazakhstan or draw

    69% the model

    Our board prices this at 69%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.45 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    76% the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 1.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.

    1.31 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 53% chance all land
1.90

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Moldova v Kazakhstan, 53% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Moldova or Draw Double Chance 72% 1.38 +
  • Over 1.5 Goals 67% 1.43 +
  • Draw (first half) First Half 51% 1.95 +

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Moldova or Kazakhstan (double chance) 79% market 1xBet
    1.26 +
  • Under 1.5 first half goals 79% market 1xBet
    1.27 +
  • Over 0.5 second half goals 76% market 1xBet
    1.32 +
  • Under 1.5 second half goals 74% market 1xBet
    1.36 +
  • Moldova or Draw (double chance) 72% market 1xBet
    1.38 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 71% market 1xBet
    1.41 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 70% market 1xBet
    1.43 +
  • Under 2.5 goals 68% market 1xBet
    1.46 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.