Molde v Fredrikstad bet builder

Sunday 25 October 2026, 18:15 · Eliteserien

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

Molde or draw

80%+ the model

The pre-match read for this game is double chance, Molde or draw (90%). Double chance is our strongest verified market.

1.11 +
Over 2.5 Goals

80%+ the model

Goals: the sides' goal rates read 3.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

1.07 +

Combined fair odds2 legs, 84% chance all land

1.18

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Molde v Fredrikstad, 84% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

Under 4.5 Goals 73% 1.30 +
Molde Home Win 62% 1.49 +
Under 3.5 Goals 58% 1.70 +
Molde (first half) First Half 53% 1.93 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

E. Breivik Molde

Shots on target 1+

E. Breivik: 0.83 shots on target a game over 23 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
E. Hestad Molde

Shots on target 1+

E. Hestad: 0.75 shots on target a game over 16 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
J. Abdulai Molde

Shots on target 1+

J. Abdulai: 0.73 shots on target a game over 15 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
S. Granaas Molde

Shots on target 1+

S. Granaas: 0.65 shots on target a game over 20 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
E. Hestad Molde

Anytime scorer

E. Hestad: 0.50 goals a game over 16 games, home against a side conceding 1.60 a game
E. Hestad Molde

To be carded

E. Hestad (Midfielder) on 0.44 yellows/match (16 apps), pos-mult 1.20
O. Øhlenschlæger Fredrikstad

Shots on target 1+

O. Øhlenschlæger: 0.56 shots on target a game over 16 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
E. Breivik Molde

Anytime scorer

E. Breivik: 0.39 goals a game over 23 games, home against a side conceding 1.60 a game
H. Skogvold Fredrikstad

Shots on target 1+

H. Skogvold: 0.52 shots on target a game over 23 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

Over 10.5 Match Corners 47%
Corners: Molde avg 6.1 for/4.2 against, Fredrikstad avg 4.2 for/6.3 against so expected 10.4 match corners
Over 7.5 Match Corners 80%+
Corners: Molde avg 6.1 for/4.2 against, Fredrikstad avg 4.2 for/6.3 against so expected 10.4 match corners; the safer line
Over 3.5 Match Cards 54%
Cards: Molde avg 2.3/game, Fredrikstad avg 1.5/game so expected 3.9 match cards
Over 2.5 Match Cards 74%
Cards: Molde avg 2.3/game, Fredrikstad avg 1.5/game so expected 3.9 match cards; the safer line
Over 20.5 Match Fouls 39%
Fouls: Molde avg 10.7/game, Fredrikstad avg 8.7/game so expected 19.5 match fouls
Over 16.5 Match Fouls 74%
Fouls: Molde avg 10.7/game, Fredrikstad avg 8.7/game so expected 19.5 match fouls; the safer line
Over 26.5 Match Shots 71%
Shots: Molde avg 19.1/game, Fredrikstad avg 10.6/game so expected 29.7 match shots
Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
Shots: Molde avg 19.1/game, Fredrikstad avg 10.6/game so expected 29.7 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

Over 0.5 first half goals 85% market Bet365
1.22 +
Over 1 second half goals 85% market Marathon Bet
1.18 +
Under 4.5 goals 80% market Bet365
1.28 +
Molde under 3 goals 78% market Marathon Bet
1.28 +
Under 2 first half goals 78% market Marathon Bet
1.29 +
Under 2.5 second half goals 77% market Bet365
1.36 +
Over 8.5 corners 76% market Betano
1.31 +
Under 12.5 corners 76% market Betano
1.32 +
Fredrikstad under 1.5 goals 74% market Bet365
1.36 +
Fredrikstad over 0.5 goals 74% market Bet365
1.40 +
Under 4 goals 74% market Marathon Bet
1.36 +
Molde over 1.5 goals 72% market Bet365
1.40 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.