Metz v PAU bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
No record in this league yet, the market's prices only-
1.78 +
PAU or draw
56% the modelOur board prices this at 56%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)
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1.14 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelGoals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
Built from the bookmakers' prices for Metz v PAU, 49% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.
Alternative picks
- Metz or Draw Double Chance 76% 1.29 +
- Over 1.5 Goals 75% 1.23 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 67% 1.36 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedMatch stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 8.5 Match Corners 42%Corners: Metz avg 3.3 for/6.0 against, PAU avg 3.0 for/4.0 against so expected 8.1 match corners
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Over 5.5 Match Corners 80%+Corners: Metz avg 3.3 for/6.0 against, PAU avg 3.0 for/4.0 against so expected 8.1 match corners; the safer line
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Over 4.5 Match Cards 59%Cards: Metz avg 1.5/game, PAU avg 3.7/game so expected 5.2 match cards
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Over 3.5 Match Cards 76%Cards: Metz avg 1.5/game, PAU avg 3.7/game so expected 5.2 match cards; the safer line
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Over 24.5 Match Fouls 80%+Fouls: Metz avg 15.8/game, PAU avg 19.3/game so expected 35.1 match fouls
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Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+Fouls: Metz avg 15.8/game, PAU avg 19.3/game so expected 35.1 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 24.5 Match Shots 55%Shots: Metz avg 13.7/game, PAU avg 11.7/game so expected 25.3 match shots
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Over 20.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: Metz avg 13.7/game, PAU avg 11.7/game so expected 25.3 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Metz under 2.5 goals 83% market Betano1.25 +
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Over 1.5 goals 83% market Betano1.26 +
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Metz or PAU (double chance) 79% market William Hill1.30 +
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Metz or Draw (double chance) 78% market William Hill1.29 +
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Over 0.5 first half goals 77% market William Hill1.30 +
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Under 2 second half goals 77% market Marathon Bet1.30 +
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Metz over 1 goals 76% market Marathon Bet1.31 +
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Over 2 goals 75% market Betano1.39 +
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PAU over 0.5 goals 75% market Betano1.37 +
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Over 1 second half goals 74% market Marathon Bet1.35 +
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PAU under 1.5 goals 72% market Betano1.44 +
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Under 1.5 first half goals 70% market William Hill1.44 +
More fixtures
All previews ›
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.