Marseille v Le Mans bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
On the record-
1.52 +Marseille66% the model
Record this market has landed 71% across 199 graded picks
6th vs 17th. Visitors poor away.
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1.56 +
Over 2.5 Goals
64% the modelRecord this market has landed 64% across 120 graded picks
Avg 3.4 goals/game expected.
The model puts this 2-leg build at 42% combined for Marseille v Le Mans. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.
Alternative picks
- Under 4.5 Goals 74% 1.28 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 55% 1.67 +
- Marseille (first half) First Half 53% 1.90 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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A. Gouiri MarseilleShots on target 1+
A. Gouiri: 1.11 shots on target a game over 9 games [WC form: 0.81/90 over 3 games (221 min), 34% weight
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L. Mafouta Le MansShots on target 1+
L. Mafouta: 1.22 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Igor Paixão MarseilleShots on target 1+
Igor Paixão: 0.75 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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L. Calodat Le MansShots on target 1+
L. Calodat: 0.56 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 8.5 Match Corners 23%Corners: Marseille avg 4.1 for/3.1 against, Le Mans avg 2.0 for/4.1 against so expected 6.7 match corners
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Over 4.5 Match Cards 52%Cards: Marseille avg 1.6/game, Le Mans avg 3.1/game so expected 4.8 match cards
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Over 2.5 Match Cards 80%+Cards: Marseille avg 1.6/game, Le Mans avg 3.1/game so expected 4.8 match cards; the safer line
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Over 24.5 Match Fouls 66%Fouls: Marseille avg 12.2/game, Le Mans avg 14.6/game so expected 26.7 match fouls
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Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+Fouls: Marseille avg 12.2/game, Le Mans avg 14.6/game so expected 26.7 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 25%Shots: Marseille avg 11.4/game, Le Mans avg 8.3/game so expected 19.7 match shots
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Over 16.5 Match Shots 76%Shots: Marseille avg 11.4/game, Le Mans avg 8.3/game so expected 19.7 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Marseille or Le Mans (double chance) 85% market Bet3651.22 +
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Marseille under 3.5 goals 83% market Bet3651.20 +
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Over 0.5 first half goals 83% market Bet3651.25 +
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Over 1 second half goals 82% market Marathon Bet1.22 +
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Under 4.5 goals 81% market Bet3651.25 +
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Le Mans under 1.5 goals 78% market Bet3651.28 +
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Under 2 first half goals 78% market Marathon Bet1.28 +
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Marseille under 3 goals 77% market Marathon Bet1.30 +
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Under 2.5 second half goals 76% market Betano1.37 +
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Under 4 goals 75% market 1xBet1.38 +
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Marseille to win 70% market Bet3651.42 +
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Over 2.5 goals 69% market Bet3651.50 +
More fixtures
All previews ›
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.