Maritimo v Santa Clara bet builder

Sunday 1 November 2026, 18:00 · Primeira Liga

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

Santa Clara or draw

74% the model

Our board prices this at 74%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

1.35 +
Over 2.5 Goals

76% the model

Goals: the sides' goal rates read 1.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.

1.31 +

Combined fair odds2 legs, 56% chance all land

1.78

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Maritimo v Santa Clara, 56% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

Over 1.5 Goals 70% 1.46 +
Maritimo or Draw Double Chance 62% 1.64 +
Under 3.5 Goals 52% 1.17 +
Draw (first half) First Half 50% 1.95 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

Gonçalo Paciência Santa Clara

Shots on target 1+

Gonçalo Paciência: 1.38 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Martín Tejón Maritimo

Shots on target 1+

Martín Tejón: 0.56 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos Santa Clara

Shots on target 1+

Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos: 0.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Raphael Guzzo Maritimo

Shots on target 1+

Raphael Guzzo: 0.44 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Lucas Soares Santa Clara

Shots on target 1+

Lucas Soares: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Gonçalo Paciência Santa Clara

Shots on target 2+

Gonçalo Paciência: 1.38 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

Over 8.5 Match Corners 54%
Corners: Maritimo avg 4.0 for/5.0 against, Santa Clara avg 4.2 for/4.8 against so expected 9.0 match corners
Over 6.5 Match Corners 79%
Corners: Maritimo avg 4.0 for/5.0 against, Santa Clara avg 4.2 for/4.8 against so expected 9.0 match corners; the safer line
Over 4.5 Match Cards 63%
Cards: Maritimo avg 2.7/game, Santa Clara avg 2.7/game so expected 5.4 match cards
Over 3.5 Match Cards 79%
Cards: Maritimo avg 2.7/game, Santa Clara avg 2.7/game so expected 5.4 match cards; the safer line
Over 24.5 Match Fouls 80%+
Fouls: Maritimo avg 14.7/game, Santa Clara avg 14.6/game so expected 29.3 match fouls
Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+
Fouls: Maritimo avg 14.7/game, Santa Clara avg 14.6/game so expected 29.3 match fouls; the safer line
Over 24.5 Match Shots 48%
Shots: Maritimo avg 11.7/game, Santa Clara avg 12.7/game so expected 24.4 match shots
Over 20.5 Match Shots 78%
Shots: Maritimo avg 11.7/game, Santa Clara avg 12.7/game so expected 24.4 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Same-game build one leg a market, live prices

3 legs on this fixture, one a market, priced across the books with the combined return. Built for members. Seven days for £1 opens it.

Market singles

Under 6.5 cards 84% market Betano
1.19 +
Over 6.5 corners 83% market Betano
1.28 +
Under 3 goals 82% market 1xBet
1.28 +
Maritimo over 2.5 corners 82% market Betano
1.23 +
Maritimo under 5.5 corners 81% market 1xBet
1.23 +
Over 2.5 cards 81% market Betano
1.24 +
Maritimo under 1.5 goals 80% market Bet365
1.25 +
Under 10.5 corners 79% market 1xBet
1.33 +
Under 1.5 first half goals 78% market William Hill
1.30 +
Santa Clara or Draw (double chance) 78% market Bet365
1.30 +
Santa Clara over 0.5 goals 78% market Bet365
1.33 +
Maritimo or Santa Clara (double chance) 76% market William Hill
1.36 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.