Manchester United crestAS Roma crest

Manchester United v AS Roma bet builder

Tuesday 3 November 2026, 20:00 · Champions League

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record

  • Manchester United or draw

    72% the model

    Record this market has landed 82% across 322 graded picks

    Our board prices this at 72%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.39 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 119 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 3.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.07 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 68% chance all land
1.48

The model puts this 2-leg build at 68% combined for Manchester United v AS Roma. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 74% 1.28 +
  • AS Roma or Draw Double Chance 63% 1.58 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 56% 1.64 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • M. Soulé AS Roma
    Shots on target 1+

    M. Soulé: 1.20 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • N. Pisilli AS Roma
    Shots on target 1+

    N. Pisilli: 0.56 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 49%
    Corners: Manchester United avg 5.5 for/3.9 against, AS Roma avg 5.8 for/4.1 against so expected 9.6 match corners
  • Over 7.5 Match Corners 74%
    Corners: Manchester United avg 5.5 for/3.9 against, AS Roma avg 5.8 for/4.1 against so expected 9.6 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 53%
    Cards: Manchester United avg 2.1/game, AS Roma avg 1.8/game so expected 3.8 match cards
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 74%
    Cards: Manchester United avg 2.1/game, AS Roma avg 1.8/game so expected 3.8 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Fouls 50%
    Fouls: Manchester United avg 10.9/game, AS Roma avg 11.7/game so expected 22.6 match fouls
  • Over 18.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Manchester United avg 10.9/game, AS Roma avg 11.7/game so expected 22.6 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Manchester United avg 15.5/game, AS Roma avg 16.6/game so expected 32.1 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Manchester United avg 15.5/game, AS Roma avg 16.6/game so expected 32.1 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Same-game build one leg a market, live prices

3 legs on this fixture, one a market, priced across the books with the combined return. Built for members. Seven days for £1 opens it.

Market singles

  • AS Roma over 0.5 goals 85% market Bet365
    1.20 +
  • AS Roma under 2.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Under 6.5 cards 83% market Betano
    1.21 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 82% market BetVictor
    1.26 +
  • Manchester United or AS Roma (double chance) 82% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Under 4.5 goals 82% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Manchester United under 2.5 goals 82% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Over 2.5 cards 81% market Betano
    1.23 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 81% market Marathon Bet
    1.24 +
  • Under 2 first half goals 79% market BetVictor
    1.27 +
  • Manchester United over 1 goals 78% market Marathon Bet
    1.29 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 77% market Bet365
    1.33 +

More fixtures

All previews ›
Champions League Shakhtar Donetsk crestSporting CP crestShakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP Tue 3 Nov, 17:45 Champions League Galatasaray crestVfB Stuttgart crestGalatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart Tue 3 Nov, 17:45 Champions League Barcelona crestAston Villa crestBarcelona vs Aston Villa Tue 3 Nov, 20:00 Champions League Lask Linz crestSlovan Bratislava crestLask Linz vs Slovan Bratislava Tue 3 Nov, 20:00 Champions League Villarreal crestParis Saint Germain crestVillarreal vs Paris Saint Germain Tue 3 Nov, 20:00 Champions League Feyenoord crestInter crestFeyenoord vs Inter Tue 3 Nov, 20:00
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

Seven days for £1 then £9.99 a month, or £79.99 a year. Cancel any time.
18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.