Manchester City crestFulham crest

Manchester City v Fulham bet builder

Saturday 21 November 2026, 12:30 · Premier League

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record

  • Manchester City or draw

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 82% across 335 graded picks

    The pre-match read for this game is double chance, Manchester City or draw (90%). Double chance is our strongest verified market.

    1.11 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    76% the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 120 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.

    1.31 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 69% chance all land
1.46

The model puts this 2-leg build at 69% combined for Manchester City v Fulham. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 74% 1.28 +
  • Manchester City Home Win 63% 1.42 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 58% 1.67 +
  • Manchester City (first half) First Half 54% 1.86 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • Joshua King Fulham
    Shots on target 1+

    Joshua King: 1.11 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Oscar Bobb Fulham
    Shots on target 1+

    Oscar Bobb: 0.44 shots on target a game over 9 games [WC form: 1.48/90 over 3 games (122 min), 23% weight

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 10.5 Match Corners 50%
    Corners: Manchester City avg 6.5 for/3.8 against, Fulham avg 6.3 for/4.6 against so expected 10.6 match corners
  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 73%
    Corners: Manchester City avg 6.5 for/3.8 against, Fulham avg 6.3 for/4.6 against so expected 10.6 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 42%
    Cards: Manchester City avg 1.5/game, Fulham avg 1.8/game so expected 3.3 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Manchester City avg 1.5/game, Fulham avg 1.8/game so expected 3.3 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 52%
    Fouls: Manchester City avg 10.2/game, Fulham avg 10.6/game so expected 20.9 match fouls
  • Over 16.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Manchester City avg 10.2/game, Fulham avg 10.6/game so expected 20.9 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Manchester City avg 15.9/game, Fulham avg 16.1/game so expected 32.0 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Manchester City avg 15.9/game, Fulham avg 16.1/game so expected 32.0 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Manchester City under 3.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 83% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 82% market Marathon Bet
    1.22 +
  • Under 4.5 goals 81% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Fulham under 1.5 goals 79% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Under 2 first half goals 78% market Marathon Bet
    1.29 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 77% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Manchester City under 3 goals 76% market Marathon Bet
    1.32 +
  • Under 4 goals 75% market 1xBet
    1.39 +
  • Manchester City to win 73% market Bet365
    1.42 +
  • Over 2.5 goals 69% market Bet365
    1.50 +
  • Fulham over 0.5 goals 68% market Bet365
    1.50 +

More fixtures

All previews ›
Premier League Leeds crestTottenham crestLeeds vs Tottenham Sat 7 Nov, 12:30 Premier League Arsenal crestHull City crestArsenal vs Hull City Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 Premier League Fulham crestNewcastle crestFulham vs Newcastle Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 Premier League Nottingham Forest crestManchester City crestNottingham Forest vs Manchester City Sat 7 Nov, 17:30 Premier League Crystal Palace crestLiverpool crestCrystal Palace vs Liverpool Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 Premier League Ipswich crestBournemouth crestIpswich vs Bournemouth Sun 8 Nov, 14:00
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

Seven days for £1 then £9.99 a month, or £79.99 a year. Cancel any time.
18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.