Liverpool v Brighton bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
On the record-
1.69 +
Brighton or Draw
59% the modelRecord this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks
The outright win sits at only 31%, so we take the safer Double Chance (59%) covering the same side.
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1.07 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelRecord this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks
Goals: the sides' goal rates read 1.50 and 4.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
The model puts this 2-leg build at 55% combined for Liverpool v Brighton. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.
Alternative picks
- Liverpool or Draw Double Chance 76% 1.35 +
- Under 4.5 Goals 76% 1.24 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 59% 1.57 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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C. Kostoulas BrightonShots on target 1+
C. Kostoulas: 1.00 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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C. Gakpo LiverpoolShots on target 1+
C. Gakpo: 0.20 shots on target a game over 5 games [WC form: 1.74/90 over 3 games (258 min), 38% weight
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Víctor Muñoz LiverpoolShots on target 1+
Víctor Muñoz: 0.71 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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M. Yalcouyé BrightonShots on target 1+
M. Yalcouyé: 0.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Under 4.5 goals 85% market Bet3651.22 +
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Over 2 goals 83% market Pinnacle1.26 +
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Liverpool or Brighton (double chance) 83% market Bet3651.28 +
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Under 2 first half goals 82% market Marathon Bet1.22 +
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Brighton under 2 goals 81% market Marathon Bet1.23 +
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Brighton over 0.5 goals 81% market Bet3651.28 +
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Over 0.5 first half goals 80% market Bet3651.28 +
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Under 2.5 second half goals 80% market Bet3651.28 +
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Liverpool under 2.5 goals 80% market Bet3651.30 +
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Over 1 second half goals 79% market Marathon Bet1.27 +
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Liverpool over 1 goals 79% market Marathon Bet1.27 +
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Liverpool or Draw (double chance) 78% market William Hill1.33 +
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The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.