Lille v Lyon bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
On the record-
1.36 +
Lille or Draw
74% the modelRecord this market has landed 82% across 335 graded picks
Win if home team wins or draws. Home team favoured. Home avoid defeat 89% of games.
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1.36 +
Over 1.5 Goals
73% the modelRecord this market has landed 79% across 461 graded picks
Avg 2.2 goals/game expected. Over 1.5 highly likely in high-scoring fixture.
The model puts this 2-leg build at 54% combined for Lille v Lyon. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.
Alternative picks
- Under 3.5 Goals 68% 1.34 +
- Lyon or Draw Double Chance 61% 1.62 +
- Under 2.5 Goals 54% 1.93 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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E. Mbappé LilleShots on target 1+
E. Mbappé: 1.13 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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E. Nuamah LyonShots on target 1+
E. Nuamah: 1.29 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Tiago Santos LilleShots on target 1+
Tiago Santos: 1.00 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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E. Mbappé LilleShots on target 2+
E. Mbappé: 1.13 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 9.5 Match Corners 49%Corners: Lille avg 3.1 for/4.0 against, Lyon avg 5.8 for/6.2 against so expected 9.6 match corners
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Over 7.5 Match Corners 74%Corners: Lille avg 3.1 for/4.0 against, Lyon avg 5.8 for/6.2 against so expected 9.6 match corners; the safer line
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Over 2.5 Match Cards 53%Cards: Lille avg 1.4/game, Lyon avg 1.4/game so expected 2.8 match cards
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Over 1.5 Match Cards 77%Cards: Lille avg 1.4/game, Lyon avg 1.4/game so expected 2.8 match cards; the safer line
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Over 20.5 Match Fouls 36%Fouls: Lille avg 9.3/game, Lyon avg 9.8/game so expected 19.1 match fouls
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Over 14.5 Match Fouls 80%+Fouls: Lille avg 9.3/game, Lyon avg 9.8/game so expected 19.1 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 42%Shots: Lille avg 11.4/game, Lyon avg 10.3/game so expected 21.7 match shots
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Over 18.5 Match Shots 75%Shots: Lille avg 11.4/game, Lyon avg 10.3/game so expected 21.7 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Lille over 0.5 goals 84% market Bet3651.25 +
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Over 0.5 second half goals 83% market William Hill1.25 +
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Over 1.5 goals 81% market Bet3651.28 +
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Lille under 2 goals 79% market Marathon Bet1.27 +
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Lyon over 0.5 goals 78% market Bet3651.33 +
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Under 2 second half goals 78% market Marathon Bet1.28 +
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Lille or Lyon (double chance) 77% market William Hill1.30 +
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Under 3.5 goals 76% market Bet3651.33 +
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Over 0.5 first half goals 74% market William Hill1.36 +
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Lille or Draw (double chance) 74% market William Hill1.40 +
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Under 1.5 first half goals 71% market William Hill1.44 +
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Lyon under 1.5 goals 69% market Bet3651.44 +
More fixtures
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The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.